Week 11 NFL Picks Breakdown!

We have a 14-game slate this week in the NFL, and here you can get the Week 11 NFL Picks Breakdown!

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction NFL Picks 11/14/24

Commanders at Eagles at 8:15 PM ET

The Washington Commanders emerged victorious against the Giants but faced a loss to the Steelers. They have managed to win 3 out of their last 4 games played on the road. Jayden Daniels is currently completing 68.7 percent of his passes, totaling 2,147 yards, with 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The combined efforts of Terry McLaurin and Zach Ertz have resulted in 1,092 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. Additionally, the Commanders’ ground game is averaging 153.5 yards per game, with Daniels leading the team with 464 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns.

The Philadelphia Eagles have defeated both the Jaguars and the Cowboys. They have won their last two games at home. Jalen Hurts boasts a completion percentage of 69.8, with a total of 1,976 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith together have achieved 1,040 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. The Eagles’ rushing offense averages 176.1 yards per game, led by Saquon Barkley, who has accumulated 991 yards and 6 touchdowns.

The Pick:

Over the past month, the Philadelphia Eagles have established a strong presence, winning five consecutive games and beginning to resemble the contender many anticipated. Nonetheless, this matchup remains a rivalry contest taking place on a short week, with the winner poised to take control of the NFC East. The Commanders have demonstrated a solid performance with a 7-2-1 record against the spread this season, featuring one of the top-scoring offenses in the league. Furthermore, they have achieved outright victories in two of their last three games as underdogs. The point spread may be a crucial element in this situation. I suggest placing your confidence in the Commanders along with the points.

Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Colts at Jets at 1 PM ET

In their matchup against the Bills on Sunday, the Colts conceded 10 points in three out of four quarters, resulting in a 30-20 defeat. Quarterback Joe Flacco recorded 272 passing yards, along with two touchdowns and three interceptions. Jonathan Taylor was the standout in the rushing department, accumulating 114 yards on 21 carries.

During the Sunday matchup with the Cardinals, the Jets allowed 24 points in the first half, resulting in a disappointing loss of 31-6. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers threw for a mere 151 yards. Breece Hall topped the rushing statistics with 52 yards, and Garrett Wilson made five catches for 41 yards.

The Pick:

In their latest matchup against the Bills, Indianapolis experienced a challenging game, marked by four turnovers and a disappointing 4-of-11 success rate on third downs. The defense surrendered 415 total yards, with 280 yards in the passing game, and allowed 21 first downs, while permitting 7 out of 14 third-down conversions, though they did achieve a couple of takeaways. On the other hand, the Jets’ defense has proven to be overrated, as they failed to secure any takeaways and allowed 406 yards, including 259 passing yards, 28 first downs, and 5 out of 7 third-down conversions in their loss to the Cardinals. The offense also contributed to the team’s struggles, generating 207 yards, with 128 passing yards, 17 first downs, and a 6-of-13 conversion rate on third downs. New York has not managed to score more than 22 points in their last seven games, with four of those games resulting in 17 points or fewer. Given the current circumstances, it is questionable whether they can compete with any league opponents. Thus, I suggest backing the Colts.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Jaguars at Lions at 1 PM ET

In the game featuring the Vikings and the Jaguars, Jacksonville was ahead 7-3 after the first quarter. Nevertheless, they were unable to score again and ultimately lost by a score of 12-7. Mac Jones amassed 111 yards through the air, threw two interceptions, and scored on the ground. Evan Engram emerged as the top receiver, securing six catches for 40 yards.

In their previous encounter with Houston, the Lions encountered difficulties, trailing 23-7 at the halftime mark. However, they made a strong comeback in the second half, ultimately winning the game 26-23. Jared Goff had a challenging performance, throwing five interceptions while achieving 240 yards and two touchdown passes. Sam LaPorta was instrumental in the victory, catching a touchdown pass among his three receptions for a total of 66 yards.

The Pick:

During the previous weekend, QB Trevor Lawrence’s injury to his non-throwing shoulder did not appear to alter the outcome significantly, as Jacksonville suffered a defeat. The team’s offensive statistics were particularly disappointing, with a total of only 143 yards (87 passing), 10 first downs, and three turnovers. Remarkably, the Jaguars lost by just five points, marking their third consecutive loss by a single score. Conversely, the Detroit Lions did not perform to their potential, as they threw five interceptions and stalled several drives. However, defensively, the Lions were effective, yielding only 248 yards (192 passing) and 16 first downs. Although I am hesitant to engage with this matchup, the Jaguars may take an aggressive approach, given their lack of pressure, which could allow them to cover the spread.

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Browns at Saints at 1 PM ET

After their latest game against the Chargers, in which they lost 27-10, the Cleveland Browns find themselves with a 2-7 record this season. The team was outgained by the Chargers, accumulating 292 yards compared to their opponents’ 342. Additionally, the Browns experienced a turnover disadvantage of 3-0 and managed to convert just 6 of 17 third-down opportunities. Jameis Winston passed for 235 yards, achieving one touchdown but also throwing three interceptions, while Cedric Tillman recorded six catches for 75 yards and one touchdown.

As of this season, the New Orleans Saints have a record of 3-7, having recently triumphed over Atlanta with a score of 20-17. In this contest, the Saints were outgained in total yardage, 468 to 365. Nevertheless, they excelled in the turnover department, finishing with a 1-0 advantage, and converted 5 of their 13 third-down attempts. Derek Carr recorded 269 passing yards along with two touchdown passes, while Alvin Kamara rushed for 55 yards on 17 attempts.

The Pick:

New Orleans was able to halt their losing streak with a win against Atlanta last week, and I expect them to secure another victory here. While I do not have a strong inclination towards either team in this matchup, I believe that Carr and the Saints’ offense present a more favorable outlook than the inconsistent play of Jameis Winston.

LA Rams vs New England Patriots Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Rams at Patriots at 1 PM ET

The Los Angeles Rams experienced a loss to the Dolphins while managing to defeat the Seahawks. Recently, the Rams have encountered difficulties on the road, losing three out of their last four games. Matthew Stafford is currently completing 66.5 percent of his passes, totaling 2,262 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. The duo of Cooper Kupp and Tutu Atwell has combined for 754 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. On the ground, the Rams are averaging 94.1 yards per game, with Kyren Williams at the forefront, accumulating 664 yards and 8 touchdowns.

The New England Patriots suffered a loss to the Titans but managed to defeat the Bears. Recently, the Patriots have experienced a downturn at home, losing three of their last four games. Drake Maye has been effective, completing 64.7 percent of his passes for a total of 954 yards, along with 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Hunter Henry and DeMario Douglas have collectively amassed 784 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Furthermore, the Patriots’ ground game is averaging 114.3 yards per game, with Rhamondre Stevenson at the forefront, recording 512 yards and 6 touchdowns.

The Pick:

The Rams are encountering issues with their offensive line, while the Patriots have performed significantly better under Maye’s leadership. They have recently achieved victories against the Jets and the Bears, with their only setback in the last three contests being a narrow three-point loss to the Titans. The Patriots’ improved performance makes them a team to consider as a home underdog. I am prepared to take a chance with the points.

Minnesota Vikings vs Tennessee Titans Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Vikings at Titans at 1 PM ET

The Minnesota Vikings approach this game with the intention of building on their recent 12-7 triumph over Jacksonville. Sam Darnold has thrown for a total of 2,141 yards, achieving 17 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, with a completion rate of 68.6%. Meanwhile, Aaron Jones has made a notable impact on the ground, rushing for 653 yards and scoring 2 touchdowns. Justin Jefferson stands out as the leading receiver for the Vikings, having made 53 catches for 831 yards and 5 touchdowns, complemented by three other teammates who have each recorded over 200 receiving yards this season.

The Tennessee Titans head into this game with the intention of recovering from a 27-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in their last outing. Will Levis has thrown for 874 yards, achieving 7 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, with a passing accuracy of 68.2%. On the other hand, Mason Rudolph has recorded 806 passing yards, along with 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, completing 59.4% of his passes. Tony Pollard is the team’s leading rusher, having gained 666 yards and scored 3 touchdowns. Calvin Ridley leads the receiving unit with 483 receiving yards, complemented by six other Titans who have each exceeded 100 receiving yards this year.

The Pick:

I find myself favoring the Vikings as a potential choice; however, I am apprehensive about the current state of Minnesota’s offense, which seems to be somewhat compromised. In contrast, Tennessee’s offense is clearly struggling, and it seems likely that both teams will be entangled in a rather unproductive game for the better part of an hour. Thus, I would suggest considering the Under for this matchup.

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Ravens at Steelers at 1 PM ET

The Baltimore Ravens are looking to build on their narrow 35-34 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals in their previous game, aiming to improve their season record to 7-3. Lamar Jackson has thrown for 2,669 yards, achieving 24 touchdowns and 2 interceptions with a completion rate of 69.1%. He has also rushed for 538 yards, scoring 2 touchdowns. Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing with 1,120 yards and 12 touchdowns. Zay Flowers has made significant contributions with 688 receiving yards and 50 receptions, including 3 touchdowns. Additionally, Rashod Bateman has 31 receptions for 501 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Mark Andrews has recorded 357 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns.

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter this contest aiming to capitalize on their recent 28-27 victory against Washington. Russell Wilson has accumulated 737 passing yards, with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception, completing 58.8% of his passes. In contrast, Justin Fields has recorded 1,106 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception, achieving a completion rate of 66.3%. Najee Harris leads the team in rushing with 645 yards and 3 touchdowns, while George Pickens has made 40 receptions for 639 yards and 2 touchdowns. Additionally, Pat Freiermuth has contributed with 29 receptions totaling 281 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Calvin Austin III has garnered 277 receiving yards.

The Pick:

I recognize why you might favor the Ravens, as they feature the best offensive unit in the NFL. Nevertheless, the Steelers have recently defeated the Commanders and seem to have undergone a transformation with Russell Wilson as their quarterback. This development is particularly noteworthy, given that Pittsburgh was already performing admirably with Fields. I believe the Steelers stand a strong chance of winning this contest outright. My support lies with the Steelers.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Raiders at Dolphins at 1 PM ET

During their latest game, the Raiders went up against the Cincinnati Bengals, surrendering 41 points and ultimately facing defeat. Gardner Minshew managed to complete 10 of his 17 passing attempts, totaling 124 yards. The defense was unable to contain Joe Burrow, who threw four or five touchdowns, highlighting the urgent need for enhancement. The Raiders’ offense is currently averaging 18.7 points per game, while their defense is yielding 27.8 points per game. In terms of rankings, the offense stands at 25th in the league, with the defense positioned at 30th.

On Monday evening, the Dolphins competed against the Los Angeles Rams, achieving a 23-15 victory. Tua Tagovailoa delivered an impressive performance, completing 20 out of 28 passes for a total of 207 yards, along with one touchdown and one interception. Currently, the Dolphins are averaging 16.3 points per game, while their defense concedes an average of 22.4 points. The offense is positioned 30th in the league rankings, whereas the defense holds the 17th position.

The Pick:

The Raiders’ defense has shown vulnerability, having allowed Burrow to throw for five touchdowns, and a comparable scenario is expected in this game. Tua Tagovailoa is poised to have a significant impact on the Dolphins, which will be a key factor in the outcome. Given the Raiders’ ineffective offense, they will struggle to keep up, leading to a likely easy win for the Dolphins. It is recommended to back the Dolphins against the spread in this matchup.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Packers at Bears at 1 PM ET

The Packers encountered the Detroit Lions in their last game before the bye week, suffering a 24-14 loss. A significant factor in the defeat was the 17 points surrendered in the second quarter. Jordan Love had a performance where he completed 23 of 39 passes for 273 yards, with one interception and no touchdowns. Josh Jacobs contributed with 13 carries totaling 95 yards. The team is currently averaging 25.6 points per game, while their defense permits 21.6 points. The offense holds the 9th position in the league rankings, while the defense is ranked 11th.

The Bears faced the New England Patriots in their latest game, suffering a loss with a final score of 19-3. Caleb Williams managed to complete 16 of his 30 passes, totaling 120 yards, with no touchdowns or interceptions recorded. D’Andre Swift was the leading rusher, with 16 carries for 59 yards. At present, the Bears average 19.4 points per game, while their defense concedes an average of 18.6 points. The offense ranks 24th in the league, in contrast to the defense, which is ranked 7th.

The Pick:

The Bears are coming off a disappointing performance, having scored just three points in their last game, which suggests they will encounter significant obstacles in reviving their offense. Jordan Love is likely to excel in this matchup for the Packers, potentially making a substantial impact on the game’s outcome. It would not be surprising if the Packers aimed to secure a victory by a margin of three touchdowns. Consequently, it is smart to support the Packers against the spread in this instance.

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Seahawks at 49ers at 4:05 PM ET

In the matchup against the Rams on November 3, the Seahawks relinquished a 10-point lead at halftime and ultimately succumbed in overtime with a score of 26-20. Quarterback Geno Smith recorded 363 passing yards, along with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was a standout performer, securing seven receptions for 180 yards and contributing two touchdowns.

Last weekend, in the game against the Buccaneers, the 49ers scored in every quarter, resulting in a hard-fought 23-20 victory. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for 353 yards and recorded two touchdown passes. Jauan Jennings emerged as the top receiver, making seven catches for 93 yards.

The Pick:

The Seahawks have had sufficient time to rest and recuperate after their overtime loss to the Rams. There are several aspects that require enhancement from that game, including three interceptions, 12 penalties amounting to 95 yards, and a disappointing 4-of-15 success rate on third downs. On a positive note, the defense was relatively solid, allowing 366 yards (298 passing) and achieving 3-of-13 on third downs. Meanwhile, San Francisco managed to secure a narrow victory over the Buccaneers on Sunday, despite a somewhat uneven finish. Their defense was effective, yielding only 215 yards (105 passing), 18 first downs, and allowing 5-of-14 on third-down conversions. In their last meeting, San Francisco triumphed with a score of 36-24 on October 10, during which they recorded 228 rushing yards and controlled the ball for 33:03. Seattle’s efforts were undermined by nine penalties and three turnovers. Should the Seahawks have dedicated their downtime to preparing for this contest, they are expected to perform more favorably in the upcoming rematch.

Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Falcons at Broncos at 4:05 PM ET

The Atlanta Falcons faced a loss to the Saints but managed to overcome the Cowboys. In their last four road games, they have emerged victorious in three. Kirk Cousins boasts a completion rate of 68.2 percent, totaling 2,634 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. The duo of Darnell Mooney and Drake London has combined for 1,333 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. The Falcons’ ground game is averaging 124.7 yards per game, led by Bijan Robinson, who has recorded 748 yards and 6 touchdowns.

The Denver Broncos experienced setbacks against the Ravens and the Chiefs. They have divided their last four home games evenly. Bo Nix boasts a completion percentage of 63.6, with 1,968 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions to his name. Courtland Sutton and Javonte Williams have together recorded 791 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. The Broncos’ rushing attack averages 117.1 yards per game, with Williams leading the charge with 388 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The Pick:

The Denver Broncos have struggled offensively, managing to score only 24 points across their last two games. While it is true that these matches were played on the road against formidable opponents like the Ravens and Chiefs, the statistics remain concerning. Currently, the Broncos rank 24th in total offense and 22nd in scoring offense. Although their defense is commendable and playing at home provides an advantage, it appears that we are receiving points with a more well-rounded and superior team. I favor the Falcons in this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Chiefs at Bills at 4:25 PM ET

In their latest encounter, the Bills triumphed over the Indianapolis Colts with a score of 30-20. Josh Allen completed 22 of 37 passes for a total of 280 yards, recording no touchdowns and two interceptions, but he did achieve one rushing touchdown. James Cook had a remarkable game, finishing with 19 carries for 80 yards and a touchdown. The Bills are averaging 29 points per game, while their defense allows 19.3 points. The offense is currently ranked third in the league, and the defense is ranked ninth.

On Sunday, a blocked field goal as time ran out secured a 16-14 victory over the Denver Broncos. Patrick Mahomes successfully completed 28 of 42 passes, accumulating 266 yards, one touchdown, and no interceptions. Kareem Hunt emerged as the leading wide receiver, recording seven receptions for 65 yards. The Chiefs are currently averaging 24.3 points per game, while their defense allows 17.9 points. The offense holds the 11th position in the league rankings, whereas the defense is ranked 5th.

The Pick:

I maintain that the Chiefs have exhibited stronger overall performance this season, notwithstanding their two defeats, and they feature a quarterback who has outperformed others this year. I foresee challenges for Patrick Mahomes when facing the Bills’ defense, which may lead to one or two turnovers. In contrast, I predict a significant performance from Josh Allen, propelling Buffalo to a comfortable win. Thus, I advise backing the Bills against the spread in this contest.

Cincinnati Bengals vs LA Chargers Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

Bengals at Chargers at 8:20 PM ET

This season, the Cincinnati Bengals have a record of 4-6 after their narrow loss to the Baltimore Ravens, which ended with a score of 35-34. In terms of offensive production, the Bengals outperformed the Ravens, accumulating 470 total yards against Baltimore’s 389. Nonetheless, they were unable to secure any turnovers, resulting in a 1-0 turnover deficit, and they converted 50% of their third-down opportunities, going 8 for 16. Joe Burrow had a standout game, throwing for 428 yards and four touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase made a significant impact with 11 catches for 264 yards and three touchdowns.

The Los Angeles Chargers have achieved a 6-3 record this season after their recent win against Tennessee, which ended with a score of 27-17. In this contest, the Chargers gained a total of 309 yards, outpacing Tennessee’s 289 yards. Both teams maintained a turnover-free game, and the Chargers successfully converted 4 of their 10 third-down plays. Justin Herbert recorded 164 yards passing along with one touchdown, while Gus Edwards rushed for 55 yards on 10 carries.

The Pick:

This season, the Chargers have established themselves as having the strongest defense in the NFL. Should their offense continue to score 24 or more points, they will be exceedingly difficult to overcome. On the other hand, Cincinnati has lost two out of their last three games, allowing 35, 24, and 37 points in those contests. Although the Bengals have encountered challenges defensively at times this season, I am confident that their offense can propel them to a significant win in this game. I suggest placing your support behind Cincinnati.

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction NFL Picks 11/18/24

Texans at Cowboys at 8:15 PM ET

After their latest game against the Detroit Lions, in which they lost 26-23, the Houston Texans’ record stands at 6-4 for the season. The Texans were outperformed in total yardage, with the Lions gaining 345 yards compared to their 248. Although they managed to win the turnover battle, recording 5 takeaways against 2, their performance on third downs was subpar, converting only 6 of 15 opportunities. CJ Stroud recorded 232 passing yards, along with one touchdown and two interceptions, while Joe Mixon added 46 rushing yards and a touchdown to the team’s efforts.

The Dallas Cowboys currently hold a record of 3-6 for the season following their recent defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles, with a final score of 34-6. In this matchup, the Cowboys were significantly outperformed, with the Eagles amassing 348 total yards compared to the Cowboys’ 146. Additionally, the Cowboys struggled in the turnover department, losing 5-2, and converted only 3 out of 14 attempts on third down. Quarterback Cooper Rush completed 13 passes for a total of 45 yards, while running back Rico Dowdle recorded 53 yards on 12 carries.

The Pick:

With Prescott unavailable, the Cowboys will rely on Cooper Rush as their quarterback, despite his disappointing showing in the last game. The Texans have faced two straight defeats and faltered significantly during the latter half of their most recent match; nonetheless, they are anticipated to rebound with a win in this encounter. At present, the Texans are the stronger offensive team, and although Dallas may put forth a competitive effort, it is expected that the Texans will secure the victory. Rush’s performance last week was concerning, and until he exhibits better results, he remains an unreliable option. Thus, I suggest supporting Houston.