Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24

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Miami Dolphins (3-6) vs Las Vegas Raiders (2-7)

November 17, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -7.5 — Over/Under: 44

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction for this NFL Week 10 game on Sunday, November 17th, at the Hard Rock Stadium.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Raiders’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Dolphins’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Las Vegas

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent betting trends in games played between Las Vegas and Miami

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Raiders and Dolphins.

Raiders Are Bad

There is no other way to put it with the Raiders, they are just flat-out awful. The Raiders have lost five games in a row and it’s gotten worse and worse each game they have played. In the last game, the Raiders faced off against the Cincinnati Bengals and they gave up 41 points on the way to the defeat. Gardner Minshew completed 10 of his 17 passes for 124 yards. They allowed Joe Burrow to throw four or five touchdowns, and the defense is going to need to be better. The Raiders did have a bye last week so they should be well rested heading into this game. 

The Raiders are averaging 18.7 points per game while their defense is giving up 27.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the defense is ranked 30th. If they want any chance in this game, the defense is going to need to be better. Aidan O’Connell is still dealing with a hand injury and is on the IR. 

Dolphins Can’t Slip Up

The Dolphins can’t slip up here. They have a 3-6 record and some momentum after their last win. On Monday night the Dolphins faced off against the Los Angeles Rams and they were able to secure the 23-15 victory. Tua Tagovailoa had a strong game completing 20 of his 28 passes for 207 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He continues to make bonehead decisions with his health at times and against the Rams, it was trying to make a tackle after an interception that led to him getting hit in the head. Even though they won, the running game wasn’t great and they are going to need Devon Achane to be better here. 

The Dolphins are averaging 16.3 points while their defense is giving up 22.4 points per game. The offense is ranked 30th in the league while the defense is ranked 17th. In this game, the Dolphins offense will need to get out to a fast start. 

Why the Dolphins Will Beat the Raiders

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last eight Sunday games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Raiders have lost nine of their last 10 Sunday road games.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in eight of their last nine November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 16 road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last seven road games following a loss.
  • The Raiders have lost the first quarter in 15 of their last 20 Week 11 games.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

The Dolphins are going to put on a show here. The Raiders defense just allowed Burrow to throw for five touchdowns and it’s going to be much of the same here. The Dolphins are going to get a huge game from Tua Tagovailoa and that is going to be the difference here. The Raiders aren’t going to be keeping up here with their terrible offense and the Dolphins are going to end up cruising to the victory. Back the Dolphins against the spread here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Dolphins -7.5

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