Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction NFL Picks 11/18/24

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys are 3-6 this season after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 34-6 in their last game. Dallas trailed 7-6 in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 27 points in the loss. The Cowboys were outgained by a total of 348-146, lost the turnover battle 5-2, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Cooper Rush threw for 45 yards on 13 completions, while Rico Dowdle rushed for 53 yards on 12 carries. 

Prior to that game, the Cowboys lost three games in a row against Atlanta, San Francisco, and Detroit. The Dallas offense has scored 19.7 points per game with 231.3 passing yards and 83.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 28.8 points per game this season. Cooper Rush has completed 56.5% of his passes for 212 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while CeeDee Lamb has caught 59 passes for 681 yards and four scores. 

Why the Texans will beat the Cowboys

• The Cowboys have lost each of their last six November home games against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have won each of their last five road games following a loss.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games.
• The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four road games following a home loss.
• The Texans have won the first quarter in five of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in each of their last five home games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Texans' last four November games as road favorites has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Cowboys' last six home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Brandin Cooks has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of his last six November home appearances.
• Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of his 12 previous November appearances against AFC opponents.
• Ezekiel Elliott has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five Week 11 appearances.
• Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his nine previous appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 26+ completions in four of his last five appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last nine November appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Jourdan Lewis is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Stefon Diggs has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six November appearances against NFC opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 285+ passing yards in three of the Texans' last four games as favorites.
• Nico Collins has recorded 78+ receiving yards in each of his last seven regular-season appearances.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 102+ rushing yards in each of his last four road appearances.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in six of the Texans' last seven games as favorites following a loss.
• Desmond King II is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (6.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (9.1) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank T2nd in the NFL in interceptions (13) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in time of possession per game (32:57) this season.

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction 

Dallas limps into this game trying to snap their four-game losing streak, but they were blown out against the Eagles last time out. The Cowboys are without Prescott at the quarterback position, so we will see Cooper Rush under center, despite his poor performance last week. Houston has lost two games in a row and completely collapsed in the second half in their last game, but they should bounce back with a win here. The Texans are the much better offensive team right now and while I do think Dallas will fight, I think the Texans will pull away. Rush looked completely lost last week and we can’t trust him until we see better results. Take Houston.