Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction 07/17/2025 Bastad Picks

Francisco Cerundolo and Mariano Navone meet in the second round of the 2025 Bastad Open. The match is scheduled for Thursday, July 17. Here’s our Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone prediction. This preview will also include a Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone pick.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Preview
 Francisco Cerundolo is the top seed at this week’s Bastad Open in Sweden. Cerundolo is ranked 20th in the ATP rankings and has been ranked as high as 18th in the past. He is one of a handful of Argentines in the draw. This will be his fourth visit to this ATP 250 event. Cerundolo lost in the first round when he competed on his debut four years ago, but won the tournament 12 months later, famously defeating Casper Ruud en route to the title. His last visit was in 2023, when his title defense ended in the semifinal stage with a defeat to Andrey Rublev.
 
Last year, he skipped this tournament. Cerundolo has compiled a 19-9 record on clay this season, and that accounts for a lot of his 27-15 record on all surfaces. Among his best results were two semifinal finishes in Munich and Madrid, and he reached the last 16 in Rome. But he also underperformed, most notably in Hamburg and at the French Open, losing in the first round to Gabriel Diallo in the latter. As a seed, Cerundolo got a bye in the first round and will begin his Bastad campaign in the second round in an all-Argentine clash against in-form Mariano Navone.

Mariano Navone is ranked 75^th in the ATP rankings but is a former Top 30. The 24-year-old entered the Bastad main draw for a second time. Last year, he famously made the last eight and lost an incredible 4-hour match to Rafael Nadal. Navone took the first step to reach another quarterfinal with an opening win against Chilean Barrios Vera. Navone won the match in precisely two hours. He took the first 7-5, having failed to serve it out at 5-4, broke in the 12^th game.

In the seond set, Navone trailed by a double break at 0-3, but leveled by winning the next three games. The set stayed on serve until the 12^th game when the Argentine pounced to win it. Navone hit four aces and one double fault in the match. He landed 63% of first serves in play and won 64% of first serve points (30/47). Navone won 57% of second serve points (16/28) and saved four of seven break points. Navone improves his clay-court record this season to 20-11. He is on a six-match winning run after lifting the Braunschweig Challenger title last weekend.
 
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Head-To-Head
Navone and Cerundolo met once on the ATP Tour. Navone defeated his countryman in a tight three-set match at the 2024 Bucharest Open in the quarterfinals stage.
 
Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction
Navone outlasted Cerundolo when they met in Bucharest last season, but he’s likely running on fumes right now after a title-winning week on the Challenger Tour this past week. He showed signs of wear and tear in his opening match, losing his serve multiple times before he found a second wind. Cerundolo will be shutting the door when he is in a winning position and the top seed arrives in Bastad very fresh after losing at Wimbledon.