Apr 21, 2026; Buffalo, New York, USA; Boston Bruins left wing Viktor Arvidsson (71) scores a goal on Buffalo Sabres goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (1) during the third period in game two of the first round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at KeyBank Center. Mandatory Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images
Timothy T. Ludwig-Imagn Images

Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins Prediction 4/23/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Buffalo Sabres Boston Bruins
Team Records 50-23-9 45-27-10
Spread +1.5 -278 -1.5 225
Moneyline -110 -110
Total Over 6.5 (114) Under 6.5 (-135)
Where TD Garden, Boston, MA
When Thursday, April 23, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV TNT

The Buffalo Sabres and Boston Bruins meet Thursday in NHL Game 3 at the TD Garden. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins Prediction. This article will include a Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins Pick.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview


The Buffalo Sabres look for a bounce-back effort to take a 2-1 series lead. The Sabres have won 7 of their last 11 games.

The Buffalo Sabres are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power play opportunities. Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 2 goals, Alex Tuch has 2 assists, and Rasmus Dahlin has 8 shots on goal. Defensively, the Buffalo Sabres are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has allowed 7 goals on 39 shots faced, and Alex Lyon has given up 0 goals on 7 shots.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview


The Boston Bruins look for another win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Bruins have lost 6 of their last 9 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 2 goals, David Pasternak has 4 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 7 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 5 goals on 73 shots faced.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The Sabres have lost seven of their last eight night games at TD Garden following a loss.
  • The Bruins have won each of their last four Game 3s of an Eastern Conference First Round series.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at TD Garden.
  • The Sabres have lost the first period in each of their last four night games at TD Garden.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Sabres have won five of their last six games following a home loss.
  • The Bruins have lost three of their last four night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last four road games following a home loss.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Bruins’ last six games against the Sabres following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Sabres’ last five night games at TD Garden have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last three night games at TD Garden.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Geekie has scored at least one goal in five of the Bruins’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Bruins’ last nine home games.
  • Viktor Arvidsson has scored three goals against the Sabres this season—equal to his most against any opponent.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Bowen Byram has recorded an assist in six of the Sabres’ last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Peyton Krebs has scored two goals against the Bruins this season—equal to the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank T30th in the league in shorthanded goals this season (2).
  • The Boston Bruins are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
  • The Buffalo Sabres are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Buffalo Sabres rank T2nd in the league in shorthanded goals this season (11).

Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins Prediction


I liked the Sabres entering the playoffs and I’m not writing them off just because they lost a game. The problem is we’re getting a pick’em price with the Bruins at home, where they’ve played head and shoulders above their best hockey. It’s about value, folks. If backing the Sabres on the road, I’d need more bang for my buck. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 games between the Sabres and Bruins. The price is forcing me to side with the Bruins.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Bruins