Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 4/23/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction for Game 3 of this NHL Eastern Conference Quarterfinal on Thursday, April 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators finished the regular season with 99 points with a 44-27-11 record and were placed 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are 40-44 ATS and 43-30 in over/under and have a 23-12-6 home record. They are coming off a 2-3 home double overtime loss to the Hurricanes, and their previous three games were a 0-2 road loss to the Hurricanes, a 3-1 home win over the Maple Leafs, and a 3-4 road overtime loss to the Devils.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.35 goals per game and are scoring 24.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.99 goals per game and are killing 75.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 83 points and 34 goals, adding a team-high 49 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 28-12-8 record, with 2.73 GAA and .891 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 7-4-2 record, with 2.42 GAA and .886 SV%.

Carolina Hurricanes Preview

The Hurricanes finished the regular season with 113 points with a 53-22-7 record and were placed 1st in the Metropolitan Division. They are 35-49 ATS and 45-37 in over/under and have a 24-12-5 road record. They are coming off a 3-2 road double overtime win over the Senators, and their previous three games were a 2-0 home win over the Senators, a 2-1 road win over the Islanders, and a 2-3 road shootout loss to the Flyers.

Offensively, the Hurricanes are averaging 3.55 goals per game and are scoring 24.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.88 goals per game and are killing 80.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sebastian Aho leads the Hurricanes with 80 points and 53 assists, while Seth Jarvis leads the team in goals with 32. Brandon Bussi is the starting goalie for the Hurricanes, and he has a 31-6-2 record, with 2.47 GAA and .895 SV%. Frederik Andersen is the backup goalie and he has a 16-14-5 record, with 3.05 GAA and .874 SV%.

Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: April 23, 2026

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won eight of their last nine night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Hurricanes have lost eight of their last 10 Game 3s of a playoff series.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games.
• The Hurricanes have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Hurricanes have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Carolina Hurricanes will win

• The Hurricanes have won seven of their last eight games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Senators have lost four of their last seven games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Hurricanes have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Hurricanes have won the first period in each of their last nine games as underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Senators’ last 11 games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Hurricanes’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 10 home games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Hurricanes’ last 10 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four home games against the Hurricanes.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 home appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Ridly Greig has recorded three assists against the Hurricanes this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Logan Stankoven has scored the first goal in each of the Hurricanes’ last three games against the Senators.
• Sebastian Aho has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances with the Hurricanes as underdogs.
• Nikolaj Ehlers has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances in night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Andrei Svechnikov has recorded at least four shots in each of his last five appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (75.85%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
• The Carolina Hurricanes rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.55).
• The Carolina Hurricanes are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction

The Hurricanes are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Senators and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Ottawa.

In this Hurricanes vs Senators Prediction, the Senators are coming as -125 home favorites. The Canes are coming into this game with a commanding 2-0 lead but both teams are tied 1-1 in their two meetings in Ottawa this season, so I don’t trust the Senators as favorites against a red-hot Carolina team. I will just stick with the under in this one, as this series had just two and four total goals in regulation.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 5.5