Bowling Green Falcons guard Josiah Shackelford (4) is called for fouling Miami RedHawks guard Peter Suder (5) in the second half of the NCAA game on Feb. 20, 2026 at Millett Hall in Oxford, Ohio.
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Niagara vs Bowling Green Prediction 11/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Niagara vs Bowling Green Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Niagara Purple Eagles Bowling Green Falcons
Team Records 0-2 2-0
Spread +14.5 -105 -14.5 -115
Moneyline +950 -1650
Total Over 145.5 (-108) Under 145.5 (-112)
Where Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH
When Thursday, November 12, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

Niagara vs Bowling Green Prediction


Niagara hasn’t played much defense through two games, and it’s led to ugly losses and failed covers. I doubt things will improve on Thursday night. Bowling Green looks sharp offensively through two games and should be licking its chops for this matchup. Bowling Green is a top-15 team in both offensive field goal percentage and three-point percentage. While the season is still young, Niagara is 220th in defensive field goal percentage and 348th in defensive three-point percentage.

There’s nothing that suggests the Purple Eagles should have success in this spot. Bowling Green has also covered its first two games and is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. I’m going to lay the points with Bowling Green on Thursday night. Niagara looks awful up to this point.

Niagara Purple Eagles Betting Preview


The Niagara Purple Eagles lost to West Virginia and Morgan State, and they play Iowa State next. Niagara has lost 12 of its last 15 games. Niagara is 0-1 SU on the road, 0-1 SU at home, and 0-2 ATS on the season.

The Niagara Purple Eagles are averaging 56.5 points per game on 37.8 percent shooting and allowing 82 points per game on 42.7 percent shooting. Logan Woods is averaging 10 points and 2 assists per game. Ruey Ruey is averaging 10 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. Bastien Rieber is averaging 9 points and 2 assists per game. Tae Blackshear is averaging 6.5 points and 1 rebound per game. The Niagara Purple Eagles are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 61.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Niagara Purple Eagles are allowing 41.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26.5 rebounds per game.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview


The Bowling Green Falcons beat Georgia State and Cleveland State, and they play William & Mary next. Bowling Green has won 4 of its last 5 games. Bowling Green is 1-0 SU on the road, 1-0 SU at home, and 2-0 ATS on the season.

The Bowling Green Falcons are averaging 85.5 points per game on 54.5 percent shooting and allowing 76 points per game on 49.6 percent shooting. Zach Howell is averaging 20 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Josiah Shackelford is averaging 18.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Makhi Leach is averaging 17 points and 5 assists per game. Tristan Beckford is averaging 12 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. The Bowling Green Falcons are shooting 44.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Bowling Green Falcons are allowing 42.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
2026-27 college basketball handicapper records, ranked by profit (bet to win $100).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit (to win $100)
1Brad Francis15478.95%+1010
2Jeremy Conn221166.67%+977
3Rodd Zawacky12763.16%+602
4Jay Yang12666.67%+525
5Big Al McMordie11664.71%+439

See the full rankings: Best College Basketball Handicappers

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

  • Niagara has lost 13 of its last 14 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Bowling Green has won each of its last four home games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents at Stroh Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Niagara’s last seven road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Bowling Green’s last nine games have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Bowling Green ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (8.0).
  • Bowling Green ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (64.5%).
  • Niagara ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (78.9).
  • Niagara ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (25.7%).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Bowling Green -14.5

2026-27 NBA handicapper records, ranked by profit ($100 base bet).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit (per $100 bet)
1Jay Briggs382065.52%+1719
2John Ryan14382.35%+1080
3Sean Murphy211558.33%+428
4Stephen Nover9469.23%+427
5Jay Yang302455.56%+311
6Big Al McMordie231954.76%+221
7Ron Romanelli171454.84%+169
8Matt Conley786953.06%+152
9VIP Sports Syndicate121054.55%+87
10Damian Sosh141253.85%+80

See the full Best NBA Handicappers rankings

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