Pittsburgh Pirates vs Texas Rangers Prediction 4/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Texas Rangers meet Thursday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Bubba Chandler here and Chandler is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Chandler’s first career start against the Rangers. The Texas Rangers will trot out Jacob deGrom for the start here and deGrom is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Pirates, deGrom is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 43 strikeouts. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to add on to their 8-4 win over Texas on Wednesday last time out to sit at 14-10 this season. After this series, the Pirates will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pirates Alternate Wins & Losses In 11 Straight

Oneil Cruz has 28 hits including 5 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs while Ryan O’Hearn has 25 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs this season. Nick Gonzales has 20 hits with 3 doubles and 11 RBIs while Brandon Lowe has 21 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 19 RBIs and Bryan Reynolds has 23 hits with 2 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs as well this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Pirates on Wednesday to sit at 12-12 this season. After this series, the Rangers will take on the Athletics in a series at home.

Rangers Drop 3 Of Last 4

Brandon Nimmo has 29 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 11 RBIs while Jake Burger has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 5 home runs and 19 RBIs. Corey Seager has 16 hits with 5 home runs and 13 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 19 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 4 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 14 hits with 4 doubles, 2 home runs and 7 RBIs while Josh Jung has 23 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs as well on the year.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: April 23, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 2.29
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Pirates: 3-1

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Rangers have won each of their last five games against the Pirates following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Rangers following a win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last four games.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Pirates.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 3.15
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have won the first inning in each of their last four games.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday games.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last 10 games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has hit a home run in two of the Rangers’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Oneil Cruz ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 6th in the league for runs allowed this season (91).
• The Rangers rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (229).
• The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.33).
• The Pirates rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (17).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers Prediction

I’m on the under here. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but this is a solid pitching matchup across the board here and Globe Life has had the notoriety of being a really under-friendly ballpark for much of the season. Two inconsistent offenses and two solid bullpens as well, I’m on the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 8