Jul 11, 2025; Wimbledon, United Kingdom; Jannik Sinner of Italy celebrates winning his match against Novak Djokovic of Serbia on day 12 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Beijing Prediction: Sinner vs Tien 10/1/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

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China Open Prediction: Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien

October 1, 2025 at 02:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Jannik Sinner -2000 / Learner Tien +1100

(Get latest betting odds)

Top seed Jannik Sinner will face Next Gen star Learner Tien in the final of the 2025 China Open. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, October 1. Here’s our Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien prediction. This preview will also include a Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien pick.

Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien Preview

Jannik Sinner is coming off a three-set win semifinal win over Alex De Minaur. It was also his 11th successive win over the Aussie to underline his dominance in the head-to-head. Sinner did drop a set to De Minaur for only the second time in 11 meetings. But the Italian avoided the upset after regaining his composure at the start of the third set with a couple of quick breaks.

Sinner hit 7 aces in the victory and did not account for a double fault. He landed 64% of first serves in play and won 82% of first serve points (50/61). Sinner won 46% of second serve points (16/35) and saved 11 of 12 break points. Sinner is through to his third final in a row in Beijing. He won the title in 2023 and was the runner-up to Carlos Alcaraz last year. Sinner will have the chance to win his third title of the season after landing the Australian Open and Wimbledon.

Learner Tien advanced to his first ATP final after Daniil Medvedev was forced to retire in the other semifinal. Tien is now the second-youngest player to reach the Beijing final. Having beaten Medvedev in an incredible five set match at this year’s Australian Open, Tien picked up his second win over the Russian, albeit via retirement.

Tien lost the first set 7-5 in an hour and 8 minutes, but hit back to win the second set 7-5 from 3-5 down as Medvedev capitulated. And the young American took a 4-0 lead in the third set before Medvedev quit. Tien accounted for 4 aces and 3 double faults. He landed 69% of first serves in play and won 51% of first serve points (36/70). Tien won 59% of second serve points (19/32) and saved five of 10 break points.

Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien Head-To-Head


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Sinner and Tien have never played before this.

Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien Prediction

Tien is undeniably talented, but it’s hard to imagine he’ll stop an in-form Sinner who is at the peak of his powers right now. The Italian has only lost title matches to Carlos Alcaraz since the start of teh 2024 season and with this being Tien’s first ATP final, Sinner should cruise to victory.

Nur Said's Pick: Sinner in straight sets

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