Pick details
| MATCHUP | Minnesota Twins | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-11 | 7-16 |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Wednesday, April 22, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 12-11 on the year and play the Rays and Mariners next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .228 on the season and have a .329 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 20 hits and 15 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Byron Buxton have combined for 40 hits and 18 RBI.
Connor Prielipp will make his major league debut when he takes the mound tonight. Prielipp was 2-10 with a 3.72 ERA and 168 strikeouts in his minor-league career. In two seasons at Alabama, Prielipp was 4-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 47 strikeouts.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 7-16 on the year and play the Rockies and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting. 222 on the season, have a .285 OBP, and have a .332 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 21 hits and 9 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Luis Robert Jr. have combined for 37 hits and 11 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 3-1 with a 1.76 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a win.
- The home team has won six of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Twins and Mets at Citi Field.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Citi Field.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games.
- The underdogs have won eight of the Twins’ last nine games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Twins’ last nine games.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Citi Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last four road games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Twins and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven night games at Citi Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Twins and Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.332).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.285).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for hits this season (172).
- The Twins rank T7th in the league for home runs this season (27).
Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction
Usually I have a thing about fading pitchers making their big league debut because we have no idea how they’re going to look. I like sample sizes. However, seeing the Mets in the favorite role when they haven’t won a game in more than two weeks is crazy. The Mets looked like they were going to end the skid last night and blew it. At this point it’s in their head. Also, Prielipp is a top-five prospect in the Twins farm system, so he has above-average stuff that could shine early. I’m not laying juju with a team that’s lost 12 straight games. Give me the Twins.
Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota Twins
