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Week 7 NFL Picks Breakdown!
Pick details
October 21, 2024 at 09:15 PM EDT
Only two teams have a bye week in the NFL, which means we have 15 games on tap, so make sure to check out the Week 7 NFL Picks Breakdown!
Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Prediction NFL Picks 10/17/24
Broncos at Saints at 8:15 PM ET
The Denver Broncos currently hold a record of 3-3 following their recent defeat to the Los Angeles team, with a final score of 23-16. In this match, the Broncos were outperformed in total yardage, with the figures standing at 350 for Los Angeles and 316 for Denver. Additionally, they struggled in the turnover department, losing 2-0, and converted only 3 out of 11 attempts on third down. Bo Nix completed 216 passing yards, achieving two touchdowns but also throwing one interception, while Devaughn Vele recorded four receptions for 78 yards.
After suffering a loss to Tampa Bay with a final score of 51-27 last week, the New Orleans Saints find themselves with a 2-4 record this season. The game saw the Saints being outgained by a substantial margin of 594 yards to 303. Both teams finished the game with three turnovers each, and the Saints managed to convert only 4 of their 13 third-down opportunities. Spencer Rattler contributed 243 passing yards, along with one touchdown and two interceptions, while Alvin Kamara added 40 rushing yards and one touchdown to the team’s efforts.
The Pick:
The Saints will not have Carr available for this matchup, and both Olave and Shaheed are also uncertain to play, which may pose difficulties for the passing game. Last week, Denver managed to make the score more respectable, yet they were largely outplayed by the Chargers during the initial three quarters. This contest appears to be evenly matched, leading me to favor the Saints and the points at home, regardless of their injury concerns.
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Patriots at Jaguars at 9:30 AM ET
The New England Patriots approach this game with the intention of recovering from a significant setback, having suffered a 41-21 defeat to the Houston Texans, which has resulted in a 1-5 record for the season. Jacoby Brissett has thrown for a total of 696 yards, achieving 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, with a completion percentage of 58.5%. In contrast, Drake Maye has managed 265 passing yards, with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, also maintaining a 58.5% completion rate. Rhamondre Stevenson is the leading rusher for New England, amassing 356 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns, while Antonio Gibson has added 226 rushing yards. In terms of receiving, DeMario Douglas leads the team with 24 receptions totaling 245 yards, while Hunter Henry follows with 19 receptions for 221 yards.
The Jacksonville Jaguars enter this matchup seeking to recover from a recent defeat, having lost 35-16 to the Chicago Bears, which has left their record at 1-5 for the season. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has accumulated 1,334 passing yards, with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, completing 60.7% of his attempts. Running back Travis Etienne Jr. has contributed 230 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tank Bigsby has added 297 rushing yards. Leading the receiving corps, Brian Thomas Jr. has recorded 25 receptions for 424 yards and 3 touchdowns, followed closely by Christian Kirk with 24 catches for 296 yards. Additionally, Gabe Davis has tallied 204 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns this season.
The Pick:
Under Maye’s leadership, New England has shown signs of resurgence. Despite the Jaguars’ familiarity with playing in London, I contend that New England is capable of putting up a strong fight, potentially losing by just 3 to 4 points. I would back the Patriots in this game.
Tennessee Titans vs Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Titans at Bills at 1 PM ET
In the fifth game against the Colts, the Titans experienced another defeat. Tennessee allowed 10 consecutive points in the fourth quarter, resulting in a final score of 20-17. Quarterback Will Levis recorded 95 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Additionally, Tony Pollard contributed with 93 yards and one touchdown.
During the Monday night game against the New York Jets, the Bills achieved a close 23-20 victory, capped off by a crucial field goal in the fourth quarter. Quarterback Josh Allen completed the game with 215 yards passing, contributing two touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown. Ray Davis spearheaded the rushing offense, gaining 97 yards on 20 carries.
The Pick:
The Bills engaged in a chaotic and poorly executed game, characterized by 22 combined penalties, against the Jets on Monday, ultimately emerging victorious. Buffalo recorded a total of 361 yards, with 210 yards passing, achieved 24 first downs, and made several key pass breakups on defense. On paper, the upcoming home game against a non-divisional rival should be less demanding. Conversely, Tennessee’s offensive performance against a mediocre Colts team was disappointing over the weekend. The Titans recorded only 241 total yards, with just 95 passing yards, averaged 4.4 yards per play, secured 16 first downs, and converted 4 of 11 attempts on third down. The 11 penalties also proved detrimental. The challenges will continue this Sunday. Back the Bills to cover.
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Eagles at Giants at 1 PM ET
The Eagles marked their return to winning form in game five against the Browns. They held a 10-6 advantage in the second half, finishing the contest with a score of 20-16. Quarterback Jalen Hurts completed the game with 264 yards and two touchdown passes, while Saquon Barkley was the leading rusher, accumulating 47 yards on 18 carries.
Over the weekend, New York added another loss to their record. The Giants were just a field goal behind the Bengals at the start of the fourth quarter but ultimately fell short, losing 17-7. Daniel Jones managed to pass for 205 yards and threw an interception, in addition to being the leading rusher with 11 attempts for 56 yards.
The Pick:
The Eagles effectively contained Cleveland to a total of 244 yards, with 144 yards attributed to passing, while allowing only 14 first downs and limiting third-down conversions to 3 out of 12. It is worth mentioning that Philadelphia’s offense has not reached 21 points in any of their last four games. In contrast, New York struggled in their recent loss to Cincinnati, converting only 5 out of 15 on third downs and failing to generate substantial offensive activity. Defensively, the team performed well, restricting the Bengals to 13 first downs and a conversion rate of 4 out of 11 on third downs. Considering all factors, I currently place more trust in the offensive performance of Philadelphia than that of New York.
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Bengals at Browns at 1 PM ET
As of now, the Cincinnati Bengals have a season record of 2-4, having secured a win against the Giants with a final score of 17-7 in their most recent game. The Bengals experienced a narrow deficit in total yardage, being outgained 309 to 304. The turnover count was equal, with both teams recording one turnover, and the Bengals managed to convert 5 of their 15 third-down opportunities. Joe Burrow had a performance that included 19 completions for 208 passing yards, in addition to rushing for 55 yards and scoring one touchdown.
After suffering a loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cleveland Browns find themselves with a 1-5 record this season, the game concluding with a score of 20-16. The Browns were outperformed in total yardage, accumulating 244 yards compared to the Eagles’ 372 yards. Both teams finished the game without any turnovers, and the Browns faced challenges on third down, achieving only 3 conversions out of 12 attempts. Deshaun Watson recorded 168 passing yards on 16 completions, while Pierre Strong added 43 yards on the ground.
The Pick:
The Browns have managed to score 16 points or fewer in four successive games, with Watson absent from the quarterback position. On the other hand, Cincinnati has triumphed in two of their last three contests, albeit with a close win against the Giants last week, and their defensive performance has been problematic for much of the season. My confidence in the Cleveland offense is minimal, and it is expected to worsen now that Cooper is unavailable. I suggest backing the Bengals in their away matchup.
Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Dolphins at Colts at 1 PM ET
The Miami Dolphins enter this matchup aiming to gain momentum following their recent 15-10 victory against the New England Patriots, which took place before their bye week. Tua Tagovailoa has accumulated 483 passing yards, along with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, completing 64.5% of his passes. In contrast, Tyler Huntley has recorded 290 passing yards and 1 interception with a completion rate of 60.4%, while Skylar Thompson has contributed 187 passing yards. De’Von Achane leads the team in rushing with 183 yards, closely followed by Jaylen Wright with 139 rushing yards. In the receiving department, Tyreek Hill stands out with 23 receptions for 286 yards, while Jaylen Waddle has made 21 catches for 258 yards. Additionally, both Achane and Jonnu Smith have surpassed 100 receiving yards this season.
The Indianapolis Colts approach this contest with the objective of continuing their success after securing a 20-17 win over Tennessee, which improved their record to 3-3 for the season. Anthony Richardson has passed for 654 yards, achieving 3 touchdowns and 6 interceptions with a completion rate of 50.6%, while also contributing 141 rushing yards and a touchdown. Joe Flacco, on the other hand, has thrown for 716 yards, with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception, completing 65.7% of his passes. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with 349 yards and 4 touchdowns. In terms of receiving, Alec Pierce is the frontrunner with 368 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, followed by Michael Pittman Jr. with 25 receptions for 273 yards, and Josh Downs, who has recorded 27 receptions for 239 yards and 2 touchdowns.
The Pick:
In my opinion, the Colts perform more effectively with Flacco as their quarterback. However, I remain skeptical about the Miami Dolphins due to the inconsistency of their offense and their struggles with player health. Additionally, the Colts must consider their upcoming match against the Texans. For the Colts to make that game significant, they need to secure a victory in this matchup, and I believe they will accomplish that. I am going with the Colts.
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Seahawks at Falcons at 1 PM ET
The Seahawks find themselves in a challenging situation, having lost three games consecutively. In their latest encounter with the San Francisco 49ers, they scored 24 points, yet this total fell short as their defense surrendered 36 points. Geno Smith’s performance included 30 completions out of 52 attempts for 312 yards, accompanied by one touchdown and two interceptions. Kenneth Walker did not perform adequately, finishing with only 32 yards and a touchdown. Currently, the Seahawks average 24.3 points per game, while their defense allows 25 points per game. They rank 13th in offensive performance and 25th in defensive performance within the league.
The Falcons arrive at this game boasting a 4-2 overall record and are currently enjoying a three-game winning streak. In their latest outing against the Carolina Panthers, they scored 38 points, resulting in an 18-point victory. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has shown impressive form, completing 19 of his 30 attempts for 225 yards, with one touchdown and no interceptions. The team’s offense averages 24.3 points per game, while the defense surrenders an average of 25 points. The offense is ranked 13th in the league, in contrast to the defense, which is ranked 25th.
The Pick:
In his most recent appearance, Cousins passed for 225 yards, and he is poised to excel in this matchup. Conversely, Geno Smith struggled in his last outing, throwing two interceptions, which suggests he will face significant challenges once more. The Falcons are expected to easily increase their score, benefiting from another strong performance by Cousins, and they are likely to secure a victory. Back the Falcons against the spread.
Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Texans at Packers at 1 PM ET
The Texans have secured victories in three consecutive games, demonstrating a dominant performance in their latest outing. They scored 41 points against the New England Patriots, winning by a decisive 20-point margin. CJ Stroud completed 20 of his 31 passing attempts, totaling 192 yards, with three touchdowns and one interception. Joe Mixon returned from injury and had a strong showing, finishing with 13 carries for 102 yards and a touchdown. Furthermore, Stefon Diggs contributed with six receptions for 67 yards and a touchdown. The Texans are currently averaging 23.8 points per game, while their defense allows an average of 22.5 points. The offense ranks 14th in the league, and the defense holds the 15th position in the NFL.
The Packers have the chance to assert themselves in this game, having achieved two consecutive victories. In their latest match against the Arizona Cardinals, the Packers’ offense excelled, scoring 34 points and winning by a decisive 21-point margin. They led 24-10 at halftime, which facilitated a smooth path to victory. Jordan Love had an impressive performance, completing 22 of 32 passes for 258 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception. Josh Jacobs also made a notable contribution with 18 carries for 62 yards. Although Christian Watson has not met expectations this season, he did manage to catch three passes for 68 yards and a touchdown. The Packers are currently averaging 27 points per game, while their defense concedes 20.2 points. The offense is ranked 8th in the league, and the defense is positioned at 9th.
The Pick:
Undoubtedly, Love has been positive, but CJ Stroud has also excelled, and he is set to have another standout performance. The Texans will benefit greatly from Joe Mixon’s return to health, which will contribute to their success. With an average of 23.8 points per game, the Texans are anticipated to showcase their abilities effectively. Although the Packers’ offense should perform reasonably well, they may encounter difficulties. It is recommended to back the Texans against the spread.
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Lions at Vikings at 1 PM ET
The Lions recently faced the Dallas Cowboys in a game where they showcased their dominance. The offensive team scored an impressive 49 points, while the defense restricted the Cowboys to just nine points. Jared Goff had an outstanding performance, completing 18 of his 25 passes for a total of 315 yards and three touchdowns. David Montgomery led the rushing efforts with 80 yards and two touchdowns. At present, the Lions are averaging 30.2 points per game, with their defense allowing an average of 18.2 points. The offense is currently ranked first in the league, while the defense ranks eighth.
In their latest contest, the Vikings took on the New York Jets and managed to secure a six-point win. Sam Darnold completed 14 of his 31 passes, totaling 179 yards, with no touchdowns and one interception. Ty Chandler stepped up as the leading rusher following Aaron Jones’ injury. Nevertheless, with the bye week approaching, Jones is expected to be fit for the upcoming game. Justin Jefferson is enjoying another outstanding season, having recorded 450 yards and four touchdowns. The Vikings’ offense is averaging 27.8 points per game, while their defense allows an average of 15.2 points. The offense ranks sixth in the league, and the defense is positioned third.
The Pick:
The Vikings’ defense has been performing exceptionally well, and even when facing a formidable offense, it is expected to maintain its high level of performance. With Aaron Jones returning, the Vikings are likely to achieve success in advancing the ball, positioning them for a comfortable victory. Back the Vikings against the spread in this matchup.
Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Panthers at Commanders at 4:05 PM ET
The Carolina Panthers enter this matchup seeking to bounce back from a third straight loss, having been defeated 38-20 by the Atlanta Falcons in their last outing, which has left them with a 1-5 record for the season. Andy Dalton has thrown for a total of 896 yards, achieving 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, with a completion percentage of 66%. Meanwhile, Bryce Young has managed 303 passing yards but has thrown 3 interceptions, completing 55.6% of his passes. Chuba Hubbard leads the team in rushing with 485 yards, while Diontae Johnson has recorded the most receptions, totaling 29 for 340 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The Washington Commanders head into this game with the intention of rebounding from a 30-23 setback against the Baltimore Ravens, which has left them with a season record of 4-2. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has thrown for 1,404 yards, registering 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, while maintaining a passing completion rate of 75.3%. He has also added 322 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns to his performance. Brian Robinson Jr. stands out with a team-leading 325 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns, whereas Terry McLaurin leads the receiving group with 29 receptions for 356 yards and 4 touchdowns. Zach Ertz has achieved 228 receiving yards, and four other receivers from the Commanders have each surpassed 100 receiving yards this season.
The Pick:
I believe that the Commanders are the stronger team and will not permit any unforeseen developments in this game. Carolina has struggled significantly this season, suffering double-digit losses in all five of their defeats. I expect Washington to achieve another solid win in this encounter, leading me to favor the Commanders.
Las Vegas Raiders vs LA Rams Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Raiders at Rams at 4:05 PM ET
The Las Vegas Raiders suffered defeats against both the Broncos and the Steelers. In their last ten away games, the Raiders have experienced losses in eight of them. Aidan O’Connell has achieved a completion rate of 63.9 percent, accumulating 403 passing yards, along with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. The duo of Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers has amassed a total of 657 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tre Tucker has recorded 18 receptions. The Raiders’ rushing offense is averaging 79.5 yards per game, with Alexander Mattison leading the team with 158 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The Los Angeles Rams faced defeats against both the Bears and the Packers. However, they have achieved victory in 5 of their last 6 games played at home. Quarterback Matthew Stafford has a completion rate of 67.4 percent, accumulating 1,238 passing yards, along with 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Receivers Tutu Atwell and Jordan Whittington have collectively amassed 482 receiving yards on 35 receptions, while Demarcus Robinson has contributed with 12 catches. The Rams’ rushing offense averages 97.4 yards per game, with Kyren Williams leading the team with 360 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns.
The Pick:
The Los Angeles Rams are poised to be in their best physical condition in quite some time, having also enjoyed an extra week for preparation. The coaching staff of the Rams is one that can be relied upon most weeks, and the additional preparation time further enhances this reliability. There are no acceptable excuses for the Rams in this game, especially given their success in covering the spread in three consecutive home games as favorites. I expect the Rams to achieve a victory in this matchup by at least a touchdown.
Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Chiefs at 49ers at 4:25 PM ET
The Kansas City Chiefs triumphed over the Chargers and the Saints. They are in pursuit of their first 6-0 start since the 2013 season. Patrick Mahomes is currently completing 69.4 percent of his passes, totaling 1,235 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. The duo of Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce has combined for 516 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has made 12 receptions. The Chiefs’ ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per game, with Kareem Hunt at the forefront, accumulating 171 yards and 1 touchdown.
The San Francisco 49ers faced a setback against the Cardinals but managed to triumph over the Seahawks. Over their last 11 home games, the 49ers have emerged victorious in 7 instances. Brock Purdy has demonstrated impressive performance, completing 65.4 percent of his passes for a total of 1,629 yards, along with 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. The combined efforts of Jauan Jennings and Brandon Aiyuk have resulted in 755 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel has made 20 receptions. The team’s rushing attack is averaging 158 yards per game, with Jordan Mason leading the team with 609 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The Pick:
The 49ers have not performed to expectations for a significant portion of the season, and their defense is not exhibiting the level of dominance we have come to expect. Additionally, the Chiefs are entering this matchup as an underdog for only the tenth time since January 2021. Remarkably, the Chiefs have successfully covered the spread in their last six games as underdogs, winning all six outright. Furthermore, Andy Reid boasts an impressive record of 21 wins and 4 losses straight up following a bye week throughout his coaching career. Given these factors, I find considerable value in supporting the Chiefs in this contest.
New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Jets at Steelers at 8:20 PM ET
In the Monday night matchup against the Buffalo Bills, the New York team managed to equalize the score with a Hail Mary pass just before halftime; however, they struggled to capitalize on this momentum, ultimately succumbing to a 23-20 defeat. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers recorded 296 passing yards, along with a late interception that was largely not attributable to him, and threw two touchdown passes. Allen Lazard was the standout receiver, securing one touchdown and finishing the game with six receptions for 114 yards.
In their latest game, Pittsburgh achieved a notable victory against the Las Vegas Raiders, re-establishing themselves in the win column. The Steelers maintained a strong offensive performance, scoring in every quarter and finishing with a dominant 32-13 scoreline. Quarterback Justin Fields accumulated 145 yards through the air and secured two rushing touchdowns, while Najee Harris contributed with 106 rushing yards and one touchdown.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh efficiently handled the Raiders in their latest contest, despite a relatively ineffective offensive display. The Steelers recorded a total of 293 yards, including 183 yards on the ground, averaging 4.7 yards per play and achieving a mere 4 out of 13 on third-down conversions. In contrast, the defense performed admirably, securing three takeaways, 16 first downs, and a third-down conversion rate of 2 out of 11. On the other hand, the Jets struggled in their Monday game, characterized by a staggering 22 penalties and numerous missed chances. The silver lining for New York was their ability to move the ball effectively for most of the match. Nevertheless, they only converted 4 out of 12 third-down attempts, missed two field goals, and were unable to score in the second half. Facing another challenging opponent this weekend, it appears that the Jets may not be able to keep the game close enough to cover.
Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL Picks 10/21/24
Ravens at Buccaneers at 8:15 PM ET
The Baltimore Ravens currently hold a record of 4-2 following their recent victory over Washington, which concluded with a score of 30-23. In this matchup, the Ravens surpassed Washington in total yardage, achieving 484 yards compared to Washington’s 305. Despite losing the turnover battle 1-0 and converting 6 out of 10 third downs, Lamar Jackson completed 323 passing yards, contributing one touchdown and one interception. Additionally, Derrick Henry excelled in the ground game, accumulating 132 rushing yards and scoring two touchdowns.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a season record of 4-2, following their decisive 51-27 win over the New Orleans Saints last week. After trailing 27-24 at the halftime break, the Buccaneers surged in the second half, scoring 27 points to secure their victory. They outgained the Saints significantly, with a total of 594 yards compared to New Orleans’ 303. Both teams finished with three turnovers, and Tampa Bay converted 6 of their 10 third-down attempts. Baker Mayfield threw for 325 yards, achieving four touchdowns and three interceptions, while Sean Tucker contributed with 136 rushing yards and one touchdown.
The Pick:
In their last three games, the Ravens’ offense has consistently scored no less than 30 points, a performance mirrored by the Buccaneers, who have also reached the 30-point mark in each of their previous three contests. Both teams excel offensively, yet I have reservations regarding the effectiveness of their defenses. Consequently, I suggest taking the Over in this game.
LA Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction NFL Picks 10/21/24
Chargers at Cardinals at 9 PM ET
The Los Angeles Chargers suffered a loss to the Chiefs but bounced back with a victory over the Broncos. In their last ten road contests, the Chargers have recorded an even split. Justin Herbert is completing 64 percent of his passes, amassing 815 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston have together achieved 383 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Will Dissly has tallied 13 receptions. The Chargers’ rushing offense averages 127.8 yards per game, with J.K. Dobbins leading the team with 438 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The Arizona Cardinals triumphed over the 49ers but faced a loss against the Packers. Recently, the team has experienced a downturn, losing five of their last six home games. Kyler Murray is currently completing 68.2 percent of his passes, totaling 1,186 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. The combined efforts of Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride have resulted in 550 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Michael Wilson has made 21 receptions. The Cardinals’ rushing attack is averaging 145.2 yards per game, with James Conner leading the charge with 403 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The Pick:
Following a solid road victory against the Broncos, the Los Angeles Chargers have now managed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games as favorites. The Arizona Cardinals have shown competitiveness throughout the season and could potentially pull off an upset; however, their defense, which ranks 27th in both total and scoring defense, is a significant concern. I expect Herbert and his team to take advantage of this situation. Although this matchup could result in a high-scoring and entertaining affair, I believe the Chargers will make the necessary plays to achieve victory. I will support the Chargers with my wager.
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