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Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24
Pick details
San Francisco 49ers (3-3) vs Kansas City Chiefs (5-0)
October 20, 2024 at 04:25 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco 49ers -2 / Kansas City Chiefs +2 — Over/Under: 46
The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in week 7 NFL action at Levi’s Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers. This article will include a Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Pick.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Chargers and Saints, and they play the Raiders next. The Kansas City Chiefs look for their first 6-0 start since the 2013 season. Patrick Mahomes is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,235 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce have combined for 516 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Xavier Worthy has 12 receptions.
The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 171 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 17 points and 305.4 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 38 tackles, Chris Jones has 3 sacks and Chamarri Conner has 1 interception.
San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
The San Francisco 49ers lost to the Cardinals, beat the Seahawks, and play the Cowboys next. The San Francisco 49ers have won 7 of their last 11 home games. Brock Purdy is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 1,629 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jauan Jennings and Brandon Aiyuk have combined for 755 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel has 20 receptions.
The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 158 yards per contest, and Jordan Mason leads the way with 609 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 21.7 points and 316.2 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 50 tackles, Kevin Givens has 3.5 sacks and Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles has 1 interception.
Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 12 Sunday games played on the West Coast.
- The 49ers have lost each of their last four October games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games as underdogs.
- The 49ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
- Reigning Super Bowl Champions have won the first half in each of their last four Week 7 games.
San Francisco 49ers Player Prop Facts
- Christian McCaffrey has recorded 90+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances at Levi’s Stadium.
- Christian McCaffrey has recorded 131+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the 49ers as favorites following a win.
- Brock Purdy has recorded 255+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances with the 49ers as favorites following a road win.
- Christian McCaffrey has scored at least one touchdown in 20 of his last 21 appearances with the 49ers as favorites following a win.
- George Kittle has recorded 68+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the 49ers as favorites following a road win.
- Brock Purdy has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of his last five appearances following a road win.
- Heading into Week 7, Jauan Jennings has recorded the most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Rams, Week 3).
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four road appearances.
- Travis Kelce has recorded 89+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances in California.
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 28+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances with the Chiefs as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Rashee Rice has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday regular-season appearances.
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chiefs’ last seven games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- Patrick Mahomes has recorded 28+ completions in four of the Chiefs’ last five October games.
- Justin Reid is just two away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 7, the 49ers rank 2nd in the NFL in yards per game (420.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the 49ers rank 2nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (262.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in H2 win percentage (100.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs rank 2nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (1.2) this season.
Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction
The San Francisco 49ers are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but I have to grab the Chiefs and the points. One, the 49ers have underachieved for much of the season, and the defense isn’t nearly as dominant as we’re used to seeing. We’re also getting the Chiefs as an underdog for just the 10th time since January 2021. The Chiefs have not only covered each of their last 6 games as an underdog, but they’ve won all 6 games outright. Andy Reid is also 21-4 SU after a bye week in his coaching career. The value is with the Chiefs. Give me the points, and I’ll sprinkle the ML as well.
