Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 1-5 this year after they lost to Philadelphia by a score of 20-16 in their last game. Cleveland tied the game at 10 in the second quarter and tied the game at 13 in the fourth, but they couldn’t find the end zone in the second half in the loss. The Browns were outgained by a total of 372-244, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 3-12 on third down in the game. Deshaun Watson threw for 168 yards on 16 completions, while Pierre Strong rushed for 43 yards. 

Cleveland also has losses against Dallas, Las Vegas, Washington, and the Giants, but they do have one win against Jacksonville. The Cleveland offense has scored 15.8 points per game with 143 passing yards and 97.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season. The Browns have gone 19.2% on third down and 10-16 on fourth down so far this season. Deshaun Watson has completed 61.3% of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 20 passes for 248 yards and one score. 

Why the Bengals will cover

• The favorites have won each of the Browns' last eight Week 7 games.
• The Browns have lost each of their last seven Week 7 games as underdogs.
• The Bengals have covered the spread in eight of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home underdogs before a Division game.
• The Bengals have won the first quarter in four of their last five Week 7 games against AFC North opponents.
• The favorites have won the first half in seven of the Browns' last eight Week 7 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bengals' last four road games following a road win has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Browns' last seven Week 7 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between teams from the same division has gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Browns as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 22+ rushing yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances against division opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 234+ passing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last eight regular-season appearances against AFC opponents.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances.
• Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in six of his seven previous October home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last five October home appearances.
• Heading into Week 7, Denzel Ward ranks T1st in the league for passes defensed (10) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Joe Burrow has thrown two or more touchdowns in six of his last seven regular-season appearances with the Bengals as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• Joe Burrow has recorded 283+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances following a win.
• Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances against conference opponents.
• Chase Brown has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals' last three games as favorites.
• Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Chase Brown has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals' last four games.
• Joe Burrow has recorded 27+ completions in four of his last five appearances following a win.
• Heading into Week 7, Joe Burrow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (110.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (1781) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (19.2%) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank T29th in the NFL in average punt return (6.0 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank T4th in the NFL in Q3 points per game (6.7) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup on a four-game losing streak and their offense has been awful to start this season. The Browns have scored 16 points or fewer in four straight games and Watson has not looked under center. Cincinnati has won two of their last three games, but they barely got by the Giants last week and their defense has been a problem for most of the season. I have no faith in this Cleveland offense and it is going to be even worse now that Cooper is gone. Take the Bengals on the road.