Rockies vs Guardians Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rockies vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 27-78 this year after they lost two out of three against Baltimore by scores of 6-5, 0-18, and 1-5. In their game three loss, Colorado led 1-0 in the second inning, but went scoreless over the final seven innings in the loss. The Rockies recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bernabel, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Colorado started Gomber, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Herget, Mejia, and Hill didn’t allow an earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Twins. Colorado has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP and a .295 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 376 runs with a .233 batting average and a .293 on base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Bradley Blalock, who is 1-2 with an 8.67 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 52-53 this season after they lost two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 3-5, 6-4, and 1-4. In their game three loss, Cleveland was shutout in the first six innings, but managed to score in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Guardians recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Arias, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Cleveland started Cantillo, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Festa allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians won three out of four against the Orioles and two out of three against the Athletics. Cleveland has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 403 runs with a .225 batting average and a .298 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 21 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 16 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Slade Cecconi, who is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 69.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have won six of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six night games following a loss.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rockies’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Guardians’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rockies’ last six games at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games as favorites against the Rockies.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 12 night games.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four games at Progressive Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.298) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit a home run in two of the Rockies’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
• The Guardians rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.61).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (681).

Rockies vs Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland had their momentum slowed down after losing two out of three against the Royals, but they have still played very well over the last few weeks. The Guardians are 25-25 at home this year, while the Rockies are 13-40 on the road. Colorado has been outscored 23-1 in their last two games and they are starting Blalock, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. Cleveland is going with Cecconi, who has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four starts. We aren’t getting great odds here, but I will fade Colorado on the road and take Cleveland by at least two.