Madison Keys vs Caty McNally Prediction 08/01/2025 Montreal Picks

Madison Keys and Caty McNally meet in the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open in Montreal. The match is scheduled for Friday, August 1. Here’s our Madison Keys vs Caty McNally prediction. This preview will also include a Madison Keys vs Caty McNally pick.

Madison Keys vs Caty McNally Preview

Madison Keys is the sixth seed in Montreal and is coming off a straight sets win over Germany’s Laura Siegemund. The match took 15 games to decide. Keys won 6-2, 6-1 in 66 minutes. In the victory, Keys hit three aces and one double fault. She landed 77% of first serves in play and won 69% of first serve points (25/36). Keys won 45% of second serve points (5/11) and saved three of four break points. The win propels Keys to the third round in Montreal for the first time since 2016 when she reached the final. She had lost in the first round and the second rounds in her last four participations at the Canadian Open.

Keys improves on her hard-court record in 2025. This was her 20th win from 23 matches, having won her first Grand Slam at the Australian Open in January and the Adelaide 500 before that. Her second-best hard-court result was reaching the semifinals in Indian Wells, and she didn’t play in Washington this past week. This was her first match since Wimbledon, where she had lost to Siegemund. As fate would have it, Keys managed to exact revenge this week.

Caty McNally is having a great comeback season after a long-term injury, with the 23-year-old picking up two wins at the Canadian Open to make the third round on her Montreal debut. McNally defeated Alycia Parks in three sets in her opening match of the week, saving a couple of match points in the deciding set tie-break to win after two hours and 45 minutes.

In the second round, McNally had a more comfortable victory against big-hitting Rebecca Sramkova of Slovakia. McNally eased to a straight-sets win in 78 minutes. She won the first set 6-2 after breaking Sramkova’s serve three times. In the second set, McNally recovered from losing her serve in the opening game and won four of the next five games to lead 4-2. She broke Sramkova while serving to stay in the match to complete a 6-2, 6-2 win. McNally improves to 38-13 for the season in all competitions. She won the Newport 125K tournament on grass earlier this month and added a second title at the Evanville ITF this past week. She is on a 12-match winning streak.

Madison Keys vs Caty McNally Head-To-Head

Keys and McNally have never played at any level before this.

Madison Keys vs Caty McNally Prediction

Keys is the favorite in this match and for good reason. She’s the better and more complete player than McNally and is now a Grand Slam champion. But do not sleep on McNally, who is coming off a solid stretch of winning so many matches lately. And her Top 100 return is now taking shape. It’s too early to call this a resurgence, but McNally’s got her confidence back after an injury-hit 2024 season and is reminding us of her potential as a top-tier talent. Keys will probably just about weather the storm, but McNally will certainly keep this interesting.