Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 11, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (19-20, 8-12 Away) lost the series to the Guardians and Angels and were on a four-game losing skid, but then they beat the Mariners in the opening two games of the current series against Seattle. The Jays beat the M’s 6-3 and 6-3 and will look to sweep their first series since early April. In Saturday’s 6-3 victory, Bo Bichette, Addison Barger, and Myles Straw contributed two RBI apiece, while Bowden Francis pitched for 6.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on six hits with five strikeouts and one walk. Mason Fluharty was credited with the win.

This season, the Blue Jays average 3.77 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .246/.317/.362 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.31 ERA (23rd) and 1.24 WHIP (13th). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with a .288 batting average, four home runs, and 18 RBI this season.

Jose Urena will take the mound for the Blue Jays on Sunday. The 33-year-old right-hander has a 0-0 record in one start this year with an 8.59 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 7.1 innings.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (22-16, 12-8 Home) won nine consecutive series before this one against the Blue Jays, and now they are hoping to salvage it and avoid being swept after losing the opening two games with an identical 6-3 result. Seattle defeated the Rangers and Athletics before taking on the Blue Jays. Logan Evans pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision in the latest loss, allowing three runs on five hits with three strikeouts and two walks. Carlos Vargas took the loss.

This year, the Mariners average 5.03 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .245/.335/.409 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.87 ERA (14th) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with a .327 batting average, nine home runs, and 28 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Bryce Miller, who is 2-3 in seven starts this season, with a 4.15 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 34.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games at T-Mobile Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (52).
• The Mariners rank T26th in the league for triples this season (2).
• The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (292).
• The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (367).

Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction

The Blue Jays won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. Six of the past seven duels went Over, which was the case in the opening two of the current series. I am going with another Over because I don’t trust Jose Urena, who proved he is not good enough to be the starter in the MLB anymore. He allowed a .405 BA in 37 at-bats against Seattle. Bryce Miller is inconsistent this year, and I am backing Toronto to score multiple runs off him early on. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 8.5