Rangers vs Tigers Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 26-14 this season after they lost game two by a score of 10-3 on Saturday night. Detroit did score one run in the first inning, but they allowed six of the next seven runs in the game to seal the loss. The Tigers recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Carpenter, Torres, and Greene, who all had one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed four hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Guenther, Holton, and Brebbia all allowed at least one earned run out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Rockies in three games and won three out of four against the Angels. Detroit has won five of its last six games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 213 runs with a .258 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added nine home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Rangers 

• The Tigers have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Why the Rangers will beat the Tigers 

• The Tigers have lost each of their last eight Sunday day games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have won each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Sunday day games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Tigers' last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Tigers' last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rangers' last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 10 of the Tigers' last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Rangers' last five games as underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
• Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Rangers.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in eight of the Tigers' last nine day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers' last nine day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances.

Rangers vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit suffered a rare blowout loss on Saturday, and they got a rough start from Flaherty, but their pitching staff has been very good for most of this season. The Tigers are 14-4 at home this year, while the Rangers are 7-13 on the road. Texas has also had a strong start from their pitchers this season, and they are going with Eovaldi, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. Detroit is starting Olson, who has allowed a total of three earned runs over his last four starts. Both of these starters are pitching at a very high level right now, and I like the under in this game.