Red Sox vs Royals Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 24-17 this year after they lost game two by a score of 10-1. Kansas City scored once in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the final six innings for the loss. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Canha, who went 1-4 with one RBI in the loss. KC started Ragans, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings in the loss, while Zerpa allowed four hits and five earned runs over one relief inning. 

Prior to this series, the Royals swept the White Sox in four games and won two out of three against the Orioles before that. Kansas City has won seven of its last eight games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 2.99 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 142 runs with a .244 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with six home runs and 24 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added five home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 3-3 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 50.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Red Sox 

• The Royals have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four road games.
• The Royals have covered the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals' last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox's last five games as underdogs against the Royals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Royals' last nine games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last four games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit at least one home run in seven of the Royals' last 13 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Double in three of the Royals' last four day games.
• Michael Massey has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Royals' last nine games at Kauffman Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Royals' last nine games against the Red Sox.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Royals as home favorites against AL opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox's last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox's last three road games against AL Central opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox's last six road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction 

Kansas City had its winning streak snapped on Saturday night in their blowout loss, but they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks. The Royals are 16-6 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 10-11 on the road. KC is starting Lugo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Boston is going with Giolito, who allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 3.2 innings in his last start. Take the Royals to win here.