Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 9/21/24

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 21st at Citi Field in New York. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

• The Phillies’ recent form and recent player performance 
• The Mets’ recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and New York
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and New York

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 92-62 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. Philadelphia lost the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 12-2 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Brewers, won two out of three against the Mets, and swept the Rays. Philadelphia is 4-4 in their last eight games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 751 runs with a .259 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .287 with 29 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 85-69 this season and they have won four of their last five games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 10-6 on Thursday. Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. New York is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 742 runs with a .248 batting average and a .321 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .244 with 34 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 12-7 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 143.2 innings pitched this year. Suarez has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 11-5 with a 3.26 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 171.0 innings pitched this season. Manaea has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four outings. 

Why the Mets will beat the Phillies

• The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight-day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three home games against NL East opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
• Sean Manaea has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Citi Field.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against NL opponents.
• Nick Castellanos has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight-day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 

These two teams have split the first two games in this series, as the Phillies creep closer to clinching the division. Philadelphia is 40-36 on the road, while New York is 44-35 at home this season. The Mets are battling for a wild card berth and they are starting Manaea, who has been very good in recent outings. The Phillies are going with Suarez, who has some very solid numbers but has just been average in recent starts. I really like how Manaea is pitching, so I am taking the Mets at home.