New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (62-44, 25-28 Away) are currently on a seven-game winning streak after sweeping the Los Angeles Angels and San Francisco Giants. Prior to that, the Mets lost a series to the Cincinnati Reds. In Sunday’s 5-3 victory over the Giants, Ronny Mauricio led the offense with two RBI, while Kodai Senga pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on four hits with three strikeouts and five walks. Jose Butto was credited with the win.

This season, the Mets average 4.39 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .242/.322/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.52 ERA (3rd) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .266 batting average, 22 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.

Frankie Montas will take the mound for the Mets on Monday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 3-1 record in five starts this year with a 4.62 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 25.1 innings.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (57-49, 31-18 Home) defeated the Washington Nationals, lost to the Miami Marlins, and split a series with the St. Louis Cardinals. San Diego lost the opening two games against St. Louis, but managed to win the next two and earn a split. In last night’s 9-2 victory, Manny Machado led the offense with three RBI, while Stephen Kolek got the win after allowing two runs on four hits with two strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Padres average 3.97 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .247/.315/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.60 ERA (5th) and 1.23 WHIP (7th). Manny Machado leads the Padres with a .300 batting average, 19 home runs, and 66 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Dylan Cease, who is 3-10 in 21 starts this season, with a 4.59 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 113.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Padres’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Mets and Padres at Petco Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.229).
• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (799).
• The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Mets rank T27th in the league for walks allowed this season (382).

Mets vs Padres Prediction

The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. San Diego played a lot of low-scoring games this season, due to its inefficient offense, so I will go with Under rather than betting on the winner. Frankie Montas allowed three runs in his last two starts, while Dylan Cease surrendered two runs in his previous two starts. I am backing them to continue with that form and display solid starts on Monday. When it comes to bullpens, the Padres have the best bullpen in the MLB, while the Mets are in the top 10. Go with Under.