Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 6/18/24

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Pittsburgh Pirates (34-37) vs Cincinnati Reds (34-37)

June 18, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +120 / Cincinnati Reds -130 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 18th at PNC Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Reds form and recent player performance 

-The Pirates recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh

-Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Reds vs Pirates. 

Reds Need to Get Offense Going

The Reds offense scored only a run on Monday and that led to the three run defeat. Spencer Steer was the only real bright spot on the offense finishing with two hits and one RBI. The Reds are averaging 4.31 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.13 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league while the pitching is ranked 11th. They are batting .226 as a team which is 26th in all of baseball. Elly De La Cruz is having a strong season hitting 12 home runs and driving in 35 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Reds will be Nick Lodolo who sits with a 7-2 record and an ERA of 2.93. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went six innings giving up seven hits and two runs. 

Why the Reds Will Win

  • The Reds have won each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have lost five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three night games against the Reds at PNC Park following a home win.

Pirates Leaned on Skenes

The Pirates leaned on Skenes on Monday and they were able to secure the victory. He was dominant going six innings giving up six hits and one run. The Pirates are averaging 4.13 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.52 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the defense is ranked 21st. Andrew McCutchen has hit 10 home runs and driven in 22 RBIs so far this season. They are batting .232 as a team which is 21st in the league. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Bailey Falter who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 3.86. In his last start, he went four innings giving up eight hits and three runs. The Pirates will meet the Rays after this series.

Why the Pirates Will Win

  • The Reds have lost each of their last seven Tuesday games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against the Reds.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday night games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a win.

 

Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Nick Lodo in his last start gave up only two runs and that success is going to continue here. The Pirates send Falter to the mound who has also been strong season and he’s going to really step up here also. Both the Pirates and Reds are going to have ice cold at bats here. Neither team will reach four runs here, and httat will be the difference as this game is lower scoring. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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