Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 6/18/24

Guardians Continue to Lead the Central 

The Cleveland Guardians are 44-25 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss against Toronto, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Guardians split two games with the Reds, won two out of three against the Marlins, and split two games with the Royals. Cleveland is just 4-5 in their last nine games, but they are leading Kansas City and Minnesota in the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 341 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .269 with 18 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has one of the top team ERA’s in the MLB, but they have allowed 17 runs in their last four games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 82.2 innings pitched this year. Miller has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow seven earned runs against the Royals two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Triston McKenzie, who is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 68.0 innings pitched this season. McKenzie has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts, but pitched well in his last outing against the Reds. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

The Guardians have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents.The Mariners have lost four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against American League opponents following a win.The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four night games following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mariners' last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.Three of the Guardians' last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last five road games against AL Central opponents.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field.

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Seattle rolls into this game with plenty of momentum, as they have won seven of their last eight games, but they are just 16-19 on the road this year. Cleveland is 21-8 at home, but they are trying to bounce back from a series loss over the weekend. The Guardians are starting Triston McKenzie, who pitched well in his last start, but has had plenty of struggles this year. The Mariners are going with Miller, who has had two very poor road starts recently. I don’t like this pitching matchup for either team, but I do like Cleveland’s offense much more than Seattle’s. My Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to win.