Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction 2/15/25 College Basketball Picks

The Troy Trojans and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in college basketball action from the First National Bank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Troy vs. Arkansas State prediction.

Troy Recap

The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to build on a 74-56 win over Louisiana last time out to improve to 16-9 on the year. After this game, Troy will head home for a rematch with Louisiana.

Trojans Looking To Heat Up

Tayton Conerway leads the Trojans in scoring, assists, and steals with 13.3 PPG, 4.8 APG, and 3 SPG along with 4.3 RPG while Myles Rigsby has 10.7 PPG with 3.8 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Troy up to this point in the year. Thomas Dowd has 8.4 PPG with a team-high 6.1 RPG to lead the Trojans on the glass so far this season while Jackson Fields has 7 PPG with 4.7 RPG as well on the year. Marcus Rigsby Jr. has 7.1 PPG as well this season. As a team, Troy is averaging 72.9 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field, 29.9% from three-point range, and 71.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won five of its last six games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Arkansas State Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to add on to their 101-67 beatdown win over Southern Miss last time out to improve to 19-7 on the year. After this game, Arkansas State will welcome South Alabama to town.

Red Wolves Looking To Pull Away In Sun Belt Race

Taryn Todd leads the Red Wolves in scoring with 15.5 PPG along with 4.8 RPG and 3.3 APG while Kobe Julien has 13 PPG with 5.6 RPG and Joseph Pinion chipped in 12.3 PPG with 4.2 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Arkansas State so far this season. Derrian Ford has 7.5 PPG while Rashaud Marshall leads the Red Wolves on the glass with 6.5 RPG and Terrance Ford Jr. has 4.8 APG of his own as well to lead A-State in assists so far this season to go along with 8.5 PPG. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 79.3 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 32.5% from three, and 72.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won each of its last 15 games at First National Bank Arena.
• Troy has lost three of its last four road games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Troy’s last eight road games has produced a total of 135 or fewer points.
• Each of Arkansas State’s last six games has produced a total of 145+ points.

Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction

I’m on Arkansas State here. I get the case to be made for Troy here as there’s a lot at stake in this matchup. If Troy springs the upset, they’re level with Arkansas State atop the Sun Belt, and if the Red Wolves get the win, they pull two games clear atop the Sun Belt mountain. That being said, Arkansas State has been really good at home and while the first meeting between these two was competitive, Troy hasn’t beaten the toughest of teams on the road, teams like Louisiana-Monroe and Louisiana. Arkansas State’s a whole different ball of wax at home and I think the Red Wolves get the win and cover. Give me Arkansas State here.