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Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction 2/15/25 College Basketball Picks

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South Alabama (17-9) vs Texas State (13-13)

February 15, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: South Alabama -6.5 — Over/Under: 136.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas State vs South Alabama prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 15th at the Mitchell Center in Mobile, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 13-13 (6-7) this season after they defeated ULM by a score of 72-60 in their last game. Texas State led 34-27 at halftime and added 38 points in the second half for the win. The Bobcats shot 49.2% from the field, 30.8% on three-pointers, and 55.6% on free throws in the game. Tylan Pope led Texas State with 22 points and four rebounds, while Dylan Dawson added 11 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Bobcats lost to Central Michigan by a score of 85-70 and Old Dominion by a score of 75-64. Texas State has lost five of their last six games and they are currently tied for eighth in the Sun Belt standings with a 6-7 record. Texas State has scored 75.7 points per game and they have allowed 72.7 points per game, while also averaging 35.9 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game this season. Tylan Pope is averaging 16.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game, while Tyrel Morgan is averaging 14.1 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game this year. Texas State is shooting 47.1% from the field, 75.8% on free throws, and 37% on three-pointers this season. 

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars are 17-9 (9-4) this year after they defeated Marshall in overtime by a score of 91-82 in their last game. South Alabama led 42-36 at halftime, but they allowed 41 points in the second half, before scoring 14 points in overtime for the win. The Jaguars shot 51.7% from the field, 15.4% on three-pointers, and 81.8% on free throws in the game. Elijah Ormiston led South Alabama with 26 points and five rebounds, while Barry Dunning Jr. added 18 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Jaguars lost to Akron by a score of 80-67 but did beat Coastal Carolina by a score of 84-59 before that. South Alabama has won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for second in the Sun Belt standings with a 9-4 record. South Alabama has scored 72.6 points per game and they have allowed 63.6 points per game, while also averaging 35.5 rebounds and 15.0 assists per game this season. Myles Corey is averaging 14.8 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game, while Barry Dunning Jr. is averaging 12.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game this year. South Alabama is shooting 44.5% from the field, 69.4% on free throws, and 32.9% on three-pointers this season. 

Why South Alabama will beat Texas State

  • Texas State has lost five of its last six games.
  • South Alabama has won five of its last six day games at Mitchell Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Texas State has lost the first half in five of its last six games.

Why Texas State will beat South Alabama 

  • South Alabama has lost three of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction 

South Alabama comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are battling at the top of the Sun Belt standings. The Jaguars are shooting 44.5% from the field this year and they have scored 91 and 84 points in two of their last three games. Texas State has lost five of their last six games, but they are coming off of a win in their last game. The Bobcats are shooting 47.1% from the field this season, but they have allowed 75+ points in three of their last four games. I don’t trust this Texas State defense and I think we could see plenty of points in this game. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 136.5

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