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Davidson vs Dayton Prediction 2/4/25 College Basketball Picks

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Dayton (15-7) vs Davidson (13-8)

February 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -9 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Davidson Wildcats and Dayton Flyers meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the UD Arena. Here’s a Davidson vs Dayton Prediction. This article will include a Davidson vs Dayton Pick.

Davidson Wildcats Betting Preview 

The Davidson Wildcats beat Richmond, lost to George Mason, and they play Richmond, UMass, and George Washington next. The Davidson Wildcats are averaging 75.1 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 70.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Reed Bailey is averaging 19.9 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Bobby Durkin is averaging 15.4 points and 2 assists. Connor Kochera is the third double-digit scorer and Zach Laput is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Davidson Wildcats are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 72.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Davidson Wildcats are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.6 rebounds per game.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview 

The Dayton Flyers beat Saint Louis, lost to St. Bonaventure, and they play VCU, Fordham, and Duquesne next. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 74.9 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 69.2 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Nate Santos is averaging 14.4 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13 points and 1.8 assists. Malachi Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Javon Bennett is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

  • Dayton has won 27 of its last 28 games at University of Dayton Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Davidson has lost five of its last six night games against Conference opponents.
  • Dayton has won the first half in four of its last five games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.

Why the Davidson Wildcats will win

  • Davidson has won three of its last four away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Dayton’s last seven games against the Atlantic 10 Conference at University of Dayton Arena have produced a total of 146+ points.
  • Eight of Davidson’s last 10 night games against the Atlantic 10 Conference have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Dayton ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.5).
  • Davidson ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.6%).
  • Davidson ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.5).

Davidson vs Dayton Injury Report

Davidson doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Dayton will continue to be without Marvel Allen due to a knee injury. 

Davidson vs Dayton Prediction

Dayton is the more talented team, has owned Davidson over the years, and is 12-1 SU at home. A lot is pointing toward Dayton in a blowout. The problem is Dayton has fallen off over the last few weeks and can’t be trusted with big numbers. In fact Dayton is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. Davidson has found ways to win here and there, and close losses to George Mason, Rhode Island, and La Salle suggest the Wildcats could be in an even better spot. A bounce here or there and Davidson has a better record and is a sneaky contender in the A10. I wouldn’t be surprised if Davidson gives Dayton a scare. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Davidson +9

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