Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

Pick details

Troy (1-3) vs Louisiana-Monroe (2-1)

Game Info: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: Troy -7 — Over/Under: 45.5

(Get latest betting odds)


In this article, we will formulate a Louisiana-Monroe vs. Troy prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 28th, at Troy University Veterans Memorial Stadium.  Let’s take a look at a Charlotte 49ers vs Rice Owls pick. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Warhawks’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Trojans’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Louisana-Monroe

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Troy

-Recent betting trends in games played between Louisana-Monroe vs Troy

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Warhawks and Trojans. 

How Does Louisana-Monroe Bounce Back?

Louisiana Monroe comes into this game with a 2-2 record overall but they were blown out in the last game. The Warhawks faced off against the Texans Longhorns and they scored only three points while the defense gave up 51 points. Even though they really struggled, they did pick off Arch Manning two times, and they need to try to take that away as a positive. General Booty completed 8 of his 19 passes for 42 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception. Ahmad Hardy finished with 10 carries for 30 yards. Davon Wells caught five passes for 19 yards. 

The Warhawks are averaging 21.7 points while their defense is giving up 23.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 109th in the league while the defense is ranked 75th. In this game, Louisana-Monroe needs to get the offense out to a fast start. 

Troy Coming Off First Win

Troy lost the first three games of the season, even though they were competitive in a couple of games. Against Iowa, they lost 38–21 but they were actually winning at halftime. In the last game against Florida A&M, Troy got back on the right track and they ended up winning 34-12. Will Crowder had a huge game completing 18 of his 25 passes for 295 yards, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Damien Taylor also had a huge game finishing with 15 carries for 109 yards and a touchdown. 

Troy on the season is averaging 24.5 points while their defense is giving up 29 points per game. The offense is ranked 96th in the league while the defense is ranked 98th. Troy’s offense was elite in the last game and they are going to need the offense to be good again here. Troy will face Texas State following this game.

Why Troy Will Beat Louisiana-Monroe

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
  • Troy has won 16 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven September games as a road underdog.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games.
  • Troy has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents at Veterans Memorial Stadium.

Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Prediction

Troy is going to have no issue here. Troy is averaging 24.5 points per game and I trust this offense a whole lot more. Louisiana-Monroe is going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and that is going to be the difference. Look for Troy to get over the 40-point mark and the Trojans are going to have no issue getting the job done here. Back Troy to win the game and cover the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Troy -7

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