Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Texas Longhorns meet in week 5 college football action from DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Texas prediction.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this one looking to rebound and snap a three-game losing streak after dropping to 1-3 with a 45-28 loss to Florida last time out. After this game, Mississippi State’s schedule doesn’t get any easier with a road trip to Georgia to take on the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State Reeling At Horrible Time

Blake Shapen has thrown for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns, and an interception on 68.5% passing while Johnnie Daniels has a team-high 158 rushing yards and Keyvone Lee and Davon Booth each have 100+ rushing yards as well this season. Kevin Coleman Jr. has a team-high 22 receptions for 287 yards and 3 touchdowns while Jordan Mosley has 13 grabs for 202 yards and 2 touchdowns. Mario Craver, Seydou Traore, and Kelly Akharaiyi each have 100+ receiving yards this season. On defense, Isaac Smith leads the Bulldogs with 51 total tackles including 19 solo tackles while Stone Blanton has 31 total tackles. As a unit, Mississippi State’s defense has combined for 3 sacks and an interception this season.

Texas Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to remain unbeaten after climbing to 4-0 with a 51-3 rout of Louisiana-Monroe last time out. After this game, Texas will head on the road for the Red River Rivalry against Oklahoma.

Longhorns Trying To Add Another Rout To Their Resume

Quinn Ewers has thrown for 691 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 73.4% passing but is dealing with an injury, leaving Arch Manning to throw for 576 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 61.7% passing. Jerrick Gibson rushed for 210 yards and 3 touchdowns while Jaydon Blue has 203 rushing yards with 3 TDs. Isaiah Bond leads Texas with 15 grabs for 290 yards and 3 touchdowns while Ryan Wingo has 239 receiving yards. Gunnar Helm, Johntay Cook II, and Matthew Golden all have 100+ receiving yards with Golden logging 3 TDs as well. On defense, Anthony Hill Jr. has a team-high 25 total tackles with a pair of sacks and an INT while Colin Simmons has a pair of sacks. As a unit, Texas’ defense has combined for 7 sacks and 7 interceptions this season.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Texas has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in September.
• Texas has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.

Mississippi State vs. Texas Prediction

I’m on the over here. I can see Texas winning in another blowout, but a spread like this is asking for a backdoor cover by Mississippi State, so I’d rather take the over. I think Texas can do a lot of the heavy lifting and I do think that Mississippi State can throw in a couple of junk scores as well so give me the over in this one.