Cincinnati vs Texas Tech Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

The Cincinnati Bearcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at Jones AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati vs Texas Tech Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati vs Texas Tech Pick.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats beat Miami (OH) and Houston, and they play UCF next. The Cincinnati Bearcats have split their last 6 road games. Brendan Sorsby is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,055 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Xzavier Henderson and Joe Royer have combined for 533 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Sterling Berkhalter has 8 receptions.

The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 197.5 yards per contest, and Corey Kiner leads the way with 404 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 16 points and 387.3 yards per game. Jared Bartlett leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 20 tackles, Eric Phillips has 3 sacks and Josh Minkins has 2 interceptions.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders recently beat North Texas and Arizona State, and play Arizona next. Texas Tech has won 5 straight home games. Behren Morton is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,175 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Josh Kelly and Coy Eakin have combined for 605 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Caleb Douglas has 15 receptions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 168.5 yards per contest, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 379 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 32.8 points and 440 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 28 tackles, Isaac Smith has 1 sack and Chapman Lewis has 2 interceptions.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won three of its last four September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Cincinnati has covered the spread in seven of its last nine September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Four of Cincinnati’s last five games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Texas Tech’s last eight games against conference opponents at Jones AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Tech ranks 10th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (100).
• Texas Tech ranks 11th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (319.0).
• Cincinnati ranks T122nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.3).
• Cincinnati ranks 20th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.5).

Cincinnati vs Texas Tech Prediction

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but it’s going to take more than that to move me. Texas Tech is still shaky at best defensively, and this isn’t a spot where things will figure itself out. Cincinnati is a decent balanced team that comfortably beat a MAC contender in Miami Ohio and just waxed Houston as a small favorite. The Cincinnati Bearcats are an above-average offensive side and have a bend but don’t break defense. I’ll grab the free field goal in a game the Bearcats could win outright.