Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

Pick details

North Texas (3-1) vs Tulsa (2-2)

September 28, 2024 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: North Texas -6.5 — Over/Under: 68.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tulsa vs North Texas prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 28th, at Apogee Stadium.  Let’s take a look at a Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs North Texas Mean Green pick. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Golden Hurricane’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Mean Green’s recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tulsa

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving North Texas

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tulsa and North Texas 

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Golden Hurricane and Mean Green. 

North Texas Bounced Back in Big Way

North Texas in the last game bounced back in a big way. North Texas lost to Texas Tech 66-21 two games ago. In the last game against Wyoming, North Texas scored 44 points and they ended up winning with ease. North Texas scored 20 points in the 2nd quarter. Chandler Morris completed 28 of his 41 passes for 305 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Shane Porter finished with 13 carries for 120 yards. In this game, North Texas had those defensive struggles in the last game and they need to be better here. 

North Texas is averaging 38 points while their defense is giving up 35.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in the league while the defense is ranked 121st. They are averaging 8.75 points per game in the 1st quarter which is 40th in college football. 

Why North Texas Will Beat Tulsa

  • The favorite has won each of North Texas’s last 11 games at DATCU Stadium.
  • Tulsa has lost 15 of its last 17 September games as an underdog.
  • North Texas has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games against conference opponents at DATCU Stadium.

Tulsa Coming Off Overtime Win

Tulsa faced off against Louisana Tech in the last game and they were able to pick up the 23-20 victory. Tulsa was outscored 13-3 in the 4th quarter and that led to them needing the overtime to secure the win. Under center for Tulsa is Kirk Francis and he completed 24 of his 36 passes for 228 yards, one touchdown, and zero interceptions. Anthony Watkins finished with 10 carries for 60 yards and one touchdown. Two games ago Tulsa was knocked off by Oklahoma State 45-10 and the offense has been inconsistent. 

Tulsa is averaging 29.8 points while their defense is giving up 30.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 72nd in the league while the defense is ranked 105th. In this game, Tulsa needs the offense to get out to a fast start. 

Tulsa vs North Texas Prediction

North Texas is going to have no issue in this game. Tulsa’s offense has been a problem and it’s going to be a problem again here. Chandler Morris is under center for North Texas and he’s going to have a huge game here. Morris is going ot have no issue running up the score here, and that will be the difference here as North Texas is going to put on a show. Back North Texas against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: North Texas -6.5

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