UMass vs Miami-OH Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

The UMass Minutemen and the Miami-OH RedHawks meet Saturday in college football action from Yager Stadium. Here’s a UMass vs Miami-OH prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UMass vs Miami-OH pick. We will examine:

The UMass Minutemen’s recent form and player performance

The Miami-OH RedHawks’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UMass Minutemen

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami-OH RedHawks

Recent betting trends in games played between UMass and Miami-OH

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UMass vs Miami-OH game

UMass Minutemen Betting Preview

The Minutemen stumbled out of the gate this year with a string of losses. UMass fell 28-14 to Eastern Michigan in their opener, then dropped game two versus Toledo 38-23. In the Buffalo matchup, it was another defeat, this time 34-3 in blowout fashion.

Last weekend versus Central Connecticut, the Minutemen gave up 21 points in the second quarter but still held on for the 35-31 win in the end. Taisun Phommachanh threw for 287 yards and three scores. Jakobie Keeney-James added five catches for 95 yards and a TD.

Miami-OH RedHawks Betting Preview

Over on the Miami-OH side, their season got started with a matchup against Northwestern. The RedHawks could only muster a pair of field goals in a 13-6 loss there. Game two was another loss, as Miami-OH fell to Cincinnati 27-16.

In their latest outing versus Notre Dame, Miami-OH was outscored 14-0 in the second half on the way to a 28-3 loss. QB Brett Gabbert posted 119 yards and two interceptions. Leading the rush was Keyon Mozee with six totes for 36 yards.

Why the Miami (OH) RedHawks will win

• Massachusetts has lost each of its last 11 games against opponents from the Mid-American Conference.
• Miami (OH) has won each of its last 10 games as a favorite.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Miami (OH)’s last six games at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
• Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 14 road games in September.
• Miami (OH) has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents at Fred C. Yager Stadium.
• Massachusetts has lost the first half in 29 of its last 31 road games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win

• Miami (OH) has lost each of its last four games.
• Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine September games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in seven of Massachusetts’ last eight games.
• Miami (OH) has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Miami (OH)’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Massachusetts’ last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

UMass vs Miami-OH Prediction

I’ll stay with Miami-OH I suppose. Probably not touching this one, though. The RedHawks were mismatched against a tough Notre Dame team over the weekend, gaining just 229 total yards (119 passing) and 17 first downs. Miami-OH had 10 penalties, two turnovers, and converted just 2-of-12 on third downs as well. They’ll obviously match up much better versus UMass, however.

Speaking of UMass, they shot themselves in the foot with 15 penalties for 135 yards but still managed to power out the win thanks to a pretty good overall effort otherwise. I like the Minutemen to be competitive here as well but I don’t think they’ll cover if the RedHawks can bounce back.