Troy (3-8) vs Southern Miss (1-10)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 2:00 pm (Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium)
Betting Odds: Troy -17.5 / Southern Miss +17.5 --- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN+
In this article, we will formulate a Southern Miss vs Troy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are 1-10 (0-7) this year after they lost to South Alabama by a score of 35-14 in their last game. Southern Miss only trailed 14-11 at the half, but they allowed 14 points in the third quarter to put the game out of reach. The Golden Eagles were outgained by a total of 380-306, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-19 on third down in the game. Tate Rodemaker threw for 108 yards and one touchdown, while Rodrigues Clark rushed for 115 yards on 12 carries.
Prior to that loss, the Golden Eagles lost eight games in a row and allowed at least 32 points in seven of them. The Southern Miss offense has scored 14.8 points per game with 167.3 passing yards and 116 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 36.5 points per game this season. Tate Rodemaker has completed 59.7% of his passes for 751 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Rodrigues Clark has rushed for 583 yards and one score.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans are 3-8 (2-5) this season after they lost to Louisiana by a score of 51-30 in their last game. Troy led 14-7 after the first quarter, but they allowed the next 30 points in the game for the loss. The Trojans were outgained by a total of 419-394, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 6-15 on third down in the game. Matthew Caldwell threw for 230 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Devonte Ross caught eight passes for 95 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Trojans defeated Georgia Southern by a score of 28-20 and Coastal Carolina by a score of 38-24. The Troy offense has scored 25.5 points per game with 215.4 passing yards and 145.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 29.2 points per game this season. Matthew Caldwell has completed 64.5% of his passes for 1,421 yards, 12 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Damien Taylor has rushed for 841 yards and four scores.
Why Troy will beat Southern Miss
- Southern Miss has lost each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has won each of its last nine November games as a favorite.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five completed road games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Southern Miss and Troy.
- Southern Miss has lost the first half in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Southern Miss' last five November games as a road underdog has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Troy's last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks T121st among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (3.5).
- Troy ranks T121st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (4).
- Southern Miss ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (10.8).
- Southern Miss ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (5.5).
Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction
Southern Miss comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, but they have been one of the worst teams in the country this year. The Golden Eagles have allowed at least 32 points in eight of their last nine games, while the offense has scored 15 points or fewer in four straight. Troy has won two of their last three games and while they have had their issues, they are still miles ahead of this Southern Miss team. Take Troy at home here.
David’s Pick Troy -17.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
