Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction College Football Picks 11/29/24

South Alabama (6-5) vs Texas State (6-5)

Game Info: Friday, November 29, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Hancock Whitney Stadium)

Betting Odds: South Alabama +1 / Texas State -1 --- Over/Under: 60.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Texas State vs South Alabama prediction for this College Football game on Friday, November 29th at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 6-5 (4-3) this year after they lost to Georgia State by a score of 52-44 in their last game. Texas State led 21-14 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 31 points to let Georgia State pull away. The Bobcats were outgained by a total of 507-459, lost the turnover battle 4-0, and went 3-13 on third down in the game. Jordan McCloud threw for 302 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jaden Williams caught seven passes for 91 yards in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Bobcats defeated Southern Miss by a score of 58-3 and ULM by a score of 38-17. The Texas State offense has scored 38 points per game with 267.1 passing yards and 202.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23 points per game this season. Jordan McCloud has completed 69.1% of his passes for 2,672 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Ismail Mahdi has rushed for 844 yards and three scores. 

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars are 6-5 (5-2) this season after they defeated Southern Miss by a score of 35-14 in their last game. South Alabama led 14-11 at halftime, but they scored 14 points to pull away in the third quarter. The Jaguars outgained Southern Miss by a total of 380-306, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-10 on third down in the game. Gio Lopez threw for 193 yards and three touchdowns, while Fluff Bothwell rushed for 104 yards and one score on six carries. 

Prior to that win, the Jaguars defeated Louisiana by a score of 24-22 but did lose to Georgia Southern before that. The USA offense has scored 36.1 points per game with 242.2 passing yards and 197.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.5 points per game this season. Gio Lopez has completed 65.7% of his passes for 2,369 yards, 17 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jamaal Pritchett has caught 81 passes for 1,042 yards and eight scores. 

Why South Alabama will beat Texas State

  • Texas State has lost 14 of its last 17 November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • South Alabama has won four of its last five home games in November.
  • South Alabama has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Texas State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four road games in November.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Texas State's last eight games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of South Alabama's last four games as a home underdog has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • South Alabama ranks T9th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.4).
  • South Alabama ranks T120th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (5.1).
  • Texas State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+9.1).
  • Texas State ranks 6th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (21.8).

Texas State vs South Alabama Prediction 

South Alabama comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they will be at home for this game. The Jaguars have played pretty solid defense over the last few weeks but will play a high-powered Texas State team here. The Bobcats have scored at least 38 points in three straight games, but their defense has been hit or miss this year. I really thought Texas State would be competing for a Sun Belt title this season, but they have let too many games get away. Neither team has a ton to play for, but I will side with South Alabama, who is red hot right now. 

David’s Pick South Alabama ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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