Miami-OH vs Toledo Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Toledo (3-1) vs Miami-OH (1-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Glass Bowl)

Betting Odds: Toledo -6.5 / Miami-OH +6.5 --- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami (OH) RedHawks and Toledo Rockets meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at Glass Bowl. Here’s a Miami-OH vs Toledo Prediction. This article will include a Miami-OH vs Toledo Pick.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview

The Miami (OH) RedHawks lost to Notre Dame, beat UMass, and they play Eastern Michigan next. The Miami (OH) RedHawks have won 6 of their last 8 road games. Brett Gabbert is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 866 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Cade McDonald and Kevin Davis have combined for 463 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Reggie Virgil has 8 receptions.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks ground game is averaging 85.5 yards per contest, and Keyon Mozee leads the way with 174 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Miami (OH) is allowing 22 points and 375.3 yards per game. Matt Salopek leads the Miami (OH) RedHawks with 36 tackles, Ty Wise has 1 sack and Raion Strader has 3 pass deflections.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets recently beat Mississippi State, lost to Western Kentucky, and they play Buffalo, Northern Illinois, and Bowling Green next. The Toledo Rockets haven’t lost a home game since November 2022. Tucker Gleason is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 862 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Junior Vandeross III and Jerjuan Newton have combined for 498 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jacquez Stuart has 6 receptions.

The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 136 yards per contest, and Willie Shaw III leads the way with 148 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 19 points and 338.8 yards per game. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren leads the Toledo Rockets with 38 tackles, Anthony Dunn Jr. has 1.5 sacks and Braden Awls has 2 interceptions.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

Toledo has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams at Glass Bowl.
Miami (OH) has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Toledo has covered the spread in seven of its last eight home games in October.
Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

Each of Miami (OH)'s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of Toledo's last six games at Glass Bowl have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Toledo ranks 22nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (21.8).
Toledo ranks 23rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (37.3).
Miami (OH) ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (2.3).
Miami (OH) ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.5).

Miami-OH vs Toledo Prediction

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are dreadful offensively, which includes being 118th in total offense and 133rd in scoring offense. Miami (OH) is also 1-3 ATS on the year, and I doubt any of this improves on the road. If the Toledo Rockets and their top-25 scoring offense get rolling at any point in this game, the RedHawks are going to be in trouble. There's a decent talent gap between these squads. Laying just under a full touchdown. Give me Toledo.