Bowling Green vs Akron Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

Akron Zips Betting Preview

The Akron Zips are 1-4 (0-1) this season after they lost to Ohio by a score of 30-10 in their last game. Akron led 10-7 in the second quarter but allowed the last 23 points in the game for the loss. The Zips were outgained by a total of 440-178, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 0-11 on third down in the game. Ben Finley threw for 196 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Adrian Norton caught five passes for 59 yards in the loss. 

Akron has also lost to Ohio State, Rutgers, and South Carolina this season, but they did beat Colgate by a score of 31-20. The Akron offense has scored 14.2 points per game with 191.8 passing yards and 54.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 40.2 points per game this season. The Zips have gone 29% on third down and 3-5 on fourth down to start the season. Ben Finley has completed 58.2% of his passes for 855 yards, seven touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Adrian Norton has caught 17 passes for 295 yards and three scores. 

Why Akron will cover

• The home team has won each of Akron's last five games.
• Bowling Green has lost each of its last three games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Bowling Green's last five games at InfoCision Stadium.

Why Bowling Green will cover

• Akron has lost each of its last 10 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has won 25 of Akron's last 26 games at InfoCision Stadium.
• Akron has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Bowling Green has covered the spread in four of its last five October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Bowling Green has won the first half in each of its last three road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Bowling Green's last eight October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
• Fifteen of Akron's last 18 home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Akron ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (4.0).
• Akron ranks 132nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (22.0).
• Bowling Green ranks T109th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.3).
• Bowling Green ranks T107th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.8).

Bowling Green vs Akron Prediction 

Bowling Green comes into this matchup trying to snap their three-game losing streak, but they will be on the road for this game. The Falcons played well in their losses against Penn State and Texas A&M, but they looked pretty bad against Old Dominion last week. Akron is also looking for their first win against a FBS program this year, but they have been terrible on both sides of the ball. I don’t trust the Akron offense to score many points and while I do like Bowling Green to win easily, I am going to go with the under here.