Aug 24, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Mystics guard Sonia Citron (22) takes a shot during the second half against the Seattle Storm at CareFirst Arena. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images
Daniel Kucin Jr.-Imagn Images

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction 9/4/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Phoenix vs Washington Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Phoenix Mercury Washington Mystics
Team Records 27-14 16-26
Where CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
When Thursday, September 4, 2025
Time 07:30 PM EDT

The Phoenix Mercury and the Washington Mystics meet Sunday in WNBA action from the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 27th, 2025, by a final score of 88-72. The win made it four wins in the last five head-to-head matchups for Phoenix. 

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 85-79 win over Indiana last time out to sit at 26-14 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Connecticut Sun.

Mercury Win 5 Straight and 7 Of Last 8

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 16.6 PPG along with 6.1 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.9 RPG and 9.2 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.3 PPG. DeWanna Bonner has 11.2 PPG in 20 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.6 APG while Lexi Held’s added 5.7 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 8 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.1 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three-point range and 78.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Washington Mystics Recap

The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to bounce back from an 81-78 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Sparks to sit at 16-25 on the year. After this game, the Mystics will head home for a game against the Indiana Fever.

Mystics Drop 7 In A Row

Sonia Citron leads the Mystics with 15.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG and 2.4 APG this season. Kiki Iriafen has 13 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Mystics in rebounding and Shakira Austin has 12.9 PPG with 6.4 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Washington up to this point in the year. As a team, Washington is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.4% shooting from the field, 33.3% from behind the three-point line and 75.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but the thing in this game is that the Mystics have just fallen off of the map as of late and the Mercury are still fighting to secure home court for the first round of the WNBA playoffs. The Mercury are just heads and shoulders the better team here and I think they get the job done in this one. Give me Phoenix here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -9

2026-27 NBA handicapper records, ranked by profit ($100 base bet).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit (per $100 bet)
1Jay Briggs412265.08%+1799
2John Ryan15478.95%+1070
3Stephen Nover11473.33%+627
4Big Al McMordie282058.33%+619
5Sean Murphy221756.41%+308
6Ron Romanelli191555.88%+254
7Damian Sosh161355.17%+175
8CD Sports11955.00%+94
9Rodd Zawacky161551.61%+26

See the full Best NBA Handicappers rankings

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