Mar 6, 2025; Indian Wells, CA, USA; Matteo Arnaldi (ITA) hits a ball against Aleksander Kovacevic (USA) in the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Well Tennis Garden. Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction 07/21/2025 Washington Picks

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Washington Open Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier

July 21, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Matteo Arnaldi / Daniel Altmaier (to be updated)

(Get latest betting odds)

World No. 44 Matteo Arnaldi of Italy will face World No. 61 Daniel Altmaier of Germany in the first round of the 2025 Citi Open in Washington. The match is scheduled for Monday, July 21. Here’s our Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier prediction. This preview will also include a Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier pick.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Preview
Matteo Arnaldi is set for his first appearance at the Citi Open. He is ranked 44th in the ATP rankings, down by 14 spots from his career-high ranking. Arnaldi has a modest 8-7 record on hard courts this season, having competed in seven tournaments. He lost in the first round in at least two of those tournaments, to Lorenzo Musetti at the Australian Open and Alexander Zverev in Acapulco. His best result on a hard court was in Delray when he made the semis and lost to Davidovich Fokina. He also made the third round in Indian Wells. The second half of the season started on a bad note for the Italian, who lost in the second round at Roland Garros, and the first round of his last two tournaments, including Wimbledon against Van De Zandschulp, where he failed to win a set. Arnaldi is now in a race to get into the Top 32 and achieve a seeding spot for the US Open. It looks very bleak for him to climb at least 12 spots, but there are still plenty of points to play for in the three warm-up tournaments, including the two Masters in Canada and the US. For now, his focus will be on Washington to arrest his recent three-match losing run.

Daniel Altmaier, strangely enough, has never played in Washington before. This will be the German’s first appearance. Altmaier is ranked 61st in the ATP rankings. He is a former Top 50 player. He owns an 11-13 record on hard courts. On the outdoors, Altmaier is 6-9. Unlike Arnaldi, he has fared better this season with three quarterfinals. One of those was the ATP 500 in Rotterdam, where Altmaier beat French rising star Arthur Fils. He was also a quarterfinalist at the Cap Cana Challenger, where he beat Dusan Lajovic and David Goffin. Since reaching the fourth round of Roland Garros, Altmaier has lost five of his last seven matches, including in his first warm-up event before the US Open at the ATP 250 in Los Cabos, Mexico.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Head-To-Head
Arnaldi and Altmaier have no history at this level. This will be their first meeting in Washington.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction
Arnaldi has lost four of his last five matches, but I don’t think you can term it particularly damaging. He’s looked competitive and a tad unfortunate that the Wimbledon defeat turned out to be a straight-sets loss. In comparison, Altmaier has not been in the best form lately, with five defeats in seven. Arnaldi has the most upside on hard courts, with significant wins on the surface already in his career. He’s the likeliest man to turn around his appalling form. 

Nur Said's Pick: Matteo Arnaldi in straight sets

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