Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova Prediction 4/26/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova meet in the third round of the 2025 WTA Madrid Open on Saturday, April 26, 2025. Here’s our Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova prediction. This preview will also include an Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova pick.

Iga Swiatek Preview

Iga Swiatek avenged her loss to Alexandra Eala this past month in Miami by beating the Filipina in the second round of the Madrid Open. But Swiatek was made to earn the victory, as Eala took the first set 6-4 and threatened to complete another upset over the five-time Grand Slam champion. 

Swiatek did not let that happen despite losing her serve at the start of the second set. She was able to break Eala three times and restore parity to the scoreline. In the third set, Swiatek dominated the World No. 72, breaking her serve three more times to secure a 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 win in two hours and 16 minutes.

In the victory, Swiatek hit six aces and four double faults. She landed 59% of first serves in play and won 64% of first serve points (30/47). Swiatek won 55% of second serve points (18/33) and saved five of 10 breakpoints.

Linda Noskova Preview

Linda Noskova kicked off her Madrid Open campaign with a 7-5, 6-1 win against Argentina’s Maria Carle. The match took about 98 minutes. The first set was extremely competitive. Noskova saved seven of nine breakpoints and broke her opponent when she served for the first set. But once Noskova secured the set in the bag, she shone in the second, racing to take a double break lead before sealing it 6-1.

In the victory, Noskova hit five aces and nine double faults. She landed 62% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (39/53). Noskova won 48% of second serve points (16/33) and saved eight of 10 breakpoints in the match. It is the first time Noskova will contest a third-round match in Madrid. She improves to 12-10 for the season. Noskova has lost five of her last eight matches.

Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova Head-To-Head

Swiatek and Noskova have met six times. Swiatek leads 5-1. Noskova’s only win over the Pole was that memorable third-round match at the 2024 Australian Open.

Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova Prediction 

While Swiatek starts as the heavy favorite at -400, and leads Noskova 5-1 in the head-to-head, only two of their six meetings were settled in straight sets. That most certainly is a key angle to look at in this match, particularly if you are looking to back the Noskova set handicap. She’s got a shot at Swiatek here. The World No. 2 is vulnerable right now and can easily be rattled when her opponent plays lights-out tennis. Noskova is also far more experienced than Eala and could make her advantage count if she is in a winning position at any point in the match.

Nur Said's Pick: Noskova set handicap +1.5