Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion 5/4/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Newcastle United will visit Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday, May 4, 2025, at the American Express Stadium in this Week 35 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction. We will examine:

Brighton & Hove Albion recent form and player performance

Newcastle United recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Brighton & Hove Albion

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Newcastle United

Recent betting trends in games played between the Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion game

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion has 51 points this season and are tied with Fulham on the 8th place of the Premier League standings, 6 points below the 7th place that leads to next season’s European Championships. Brighton has a 13-9-12 record this season and have a 7-3-7 home record. They are coming off a 3-2 home victory over West Ham, ending their previous five-game winless streak. Over is 13-1 in their last 14 overall games, and 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Both teams to score – Yes is 8-2 in their last 10 games.

Brighton is averaging 1.65 goals per game, which is 8th in the league, while allowing 1.62 goals per game, which is 14th in the league. João Pedro is the top scorer for Brighton this season with 10 goals, while Danny Welbeck follows with 9 goals. João Pedro is also the team’s top passer, with 6 assists made.

Newcastle United Preview

Newcastle has 62 points this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the Premier League standings. Newcastle has a 19-10-5 record this season and have an 8-6-3 road record. They are coming off a 3-0 home victory over Ipswich Town, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 overall games and 3-0 in their last 3 road games. There have been 3+ total goals scored in their last seven games.

Newcastle is averaging 1.91 goals per game, which is the third-best in the league, while allowing 1.29 goals per game, which is 8th. Alexander Isak is the top scorer for Newcastle this season with 22 total goals, while Harvey Barnes follows with 9 goals. Jacob Murphy is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Why Brighton & Hove Albion will win

• Brighton has won three of its last four EPL matches as a home underdog.
• Brighton has won three of its last four EPL matches as an underdog following a league win.
• The home team has won each of Newcastle United’s last four EPL matches.
• The home team has won three of Brighton’s last four EPL matches.

Why Newcastle United will win

• The favorite has won each of Newcastle United’s last 10 EPL matches.
• Newcastle United has won each of its last seven EPL matches as a favorite.
• Newcastle United has won each of its last six EPL matches as an away favorite.
• Newcastle United has won seven of its last eight EPL matches as an away favorite following a league win.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Brighton’s last eight EPL matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last four EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last 11 EPL matches.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Brighton’s last 11 EPL matches as an underdog.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Newcastle United’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

Brighton has won both meetings against Newcastle this season, both on the road, by 1-2 and 0-1. Brighton is 3-0-1 in their last 4 meetings against Newcastle, and are 3-0-4 in their last 7 meetings in American Express Stadium. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Newcastle is coming as +140 road favorites. Newcastle is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, but both teams still have something to play for, so this is going to be a very competitive game. I don’t see any value on either side of this matchup, but there is huge value on the total.

Brighton has been all about the over lately, and their last three games had 4,5 and 6 total goals. Both teams are a combined 21-2 to the over in their last 23 games, so we are looking at another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 3 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 3