Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction 11/22/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals meet Saturday in NHL action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Devils and Oilers, and they play the Flyers next. The Lightning have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.05 goals per game and are scoring on 16.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Tampa Bay with 12 goals, Victor Hedman has 12 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 53 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.85 goals per game and are killing 86.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 37 goals on 396 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 17 goals on 155 shots.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Habs and Oilers, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Capitals have won 3 straight games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.24 goals per game and are scoring 16.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Tom Wilson leads Washington with 11 goals, Dylan Strome has 15 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 69 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 72.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 28 goals on 348 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 23 goals on 206 shots.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Lightning have lost six of their last seven night games at Capital One Arena after coming off overtime.
• The Capitals have won four of their last five night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven night games at Capital One Arena following a home win.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against the Lightning at Capital One Arena.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last six road games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eleven of the Capitals’ last 12 home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Lightning’s last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four home games.
• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last five games at Capital One Arena.
• Tom Wilson has recorded at least one point in 10 of the Capitals’ last 11 home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tom Wilson has recorded three points against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven Saturday road appearances.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games at Capital One Arena.
• Charle-Edouard D’Astous has recorded two points against the Capitals this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Washington Capitals rank T25th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.13%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only three teams to not play in a game that have gone to shootout this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.10).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction

The Lightning have probably been the more consistent team this season, and they’ve played some of their better hockey on the road. However, the Capitals have caught fire this week, winning three straight games and scoring a combined 17 goals in those contests. We knew what the Capitals were capable of, especially offensively and after some rough patches, they’ve found their stride. The home team has won the first two meetings this season. I’ll ride the hot hand and roll with the Capitals on Saturday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Washington Capitals