Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 5/25/25 NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the Edmonton Oilers meet Friday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction.

Series Recap

The Edmonton Oilers got back into the series, stealing home ice and evening the series up at one win apiece thanks to their 3-0 win over Dallas last time out. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins opened the scoring for the Oilers on the power play less than six minutes into the game before Brent Kulak doubled the lead for Edmonton with just under five minutes to go in the second period. Connor Brown made it 3-0 just 1:13 later to give the Oilers the cushion that they would ride all the way to the finish line.

Stars Looking To Retake Home Ice

Matt Duchene has 82 points including 30 goals along with 52 assists. Jason Robertson has 80 points with 35 goals and 45 assists while Roope Hintz has 67 points with 29 goals and Jamie Benn has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 71 points with 33 goals and 38 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov’s added 40 points split between 20 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 36-18-4 with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 14-8-2 with a 2.63 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last three games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Oilers have lost five of their last six day games.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven day games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 20 of their last 21 Sunday games as underdogs.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored the first goal in three of the Stars’ last four road games against the Oilers.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in each of his last five road playoff appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances in day playoff games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 appearances in Game 3s of a playoff series.
• Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.

Oilers Trying To Take First Series Lead

Leon Draisaitl leads the Oilers in scoring with 106 points including a team-high 52 goals and 54 assists while Connor McDavid has 100 points with 26 goals and 74 assists. Evan Bouchard has 67 points with 14 goals and 53 assists while Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has 49 points with 20 goals and 29 assists as well this season. Zach Hyman also has 44 points with 27 goals. Calvin Pickard has gone 22-10-1 with a 2.71 GAA and a .900 save percentage in goal for Edmonton and Stuart Skinner has gone 26-18-4 with a 2.81 GAA and an .896 save percentage this season.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

• The Oilers have won each of their last six day games at Rogers Place.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The home team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Stars and Oilers.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Zach Hyman has scored a goal in four of the Oilers’ last five day games at Rogers Place.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Oilers’ last six home games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Stars’ last nine road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers Prediction

I’m on the Stars in this one. I get the case to be made for the Oilers getting back home where they’ve been at their best this season. However, I still feel like the Stars have more stability in goal with Oettinger over Stuart Skinner, and even though the secondary scoring for the Oilers has been stepping up, usually when the Stars get sat down, they don’t stay down for long. I think that Dallas bounces back and shows up here to restore the series lead and get home ice back. Give me the Stars in this one.