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Calgary Flames vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 11/19/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Calgary Flames | Buffalo Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-13-3 | 7-8-4 |
| Spread | +1.5 -192 | -1.5 160 |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (110) | Under 6.5 (-130) |
| Where | KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY | |
| When | Wednesday, November 19, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 18 points this season with a 7-8-4 record, and are 8-11 ATS and 10-7 in over/under. They have a 6-3-2 home record and a 1-5-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 5-1 home win over the Oilers and will face the Blackhawks and Hurricanes next.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 17.20% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.42 goals per game and are killing 89.70% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads Buffalo with 17 points, 9 goals and 8 assists, while Alex Tuch follows with 16 points, 7 goals and 9 assists. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 3-5-3 record, with 3.07 GAA and .907 SV%. Colten Ellis is the backup goalie and he has a 3-1 record, with 2.76 GAA and .914 SV%.
Calgary Flames Preview
The Flames have 13 points this season with a 5-13-3 record, and are 11-10 ATS and 9-8 in over/under. They have a 3-4-2 home record and a 2-9-1 road record and are sitting 8th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 5-2 road loss to the Blackhawks and will face the Stars, Canucks and Lightning next.
Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.10 goals per game and are scoring 12.70% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.10 goals per game and are killing 78.60% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nazem Kadri leads Calgary with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, while Matt Coronato follows with 10 points, 6 goals and 4 assists. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 5-10-2 record, with 3.01 GAA and .896 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 0-2-1 record, with 1.75 GAA and .935 SV%.
Calgary Flames @ Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends: November 19, 2025
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Flames have lost each of their last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have won eight of their last nine home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 home games following a win.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Flames have lost the second period in each of their last five games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.
Why the Calgary Flames will win
- The Flames have won each of their last five night games at KeyBank Center.
- The Sabres have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Sabres’ last six games at KeyBank Center.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Sabres have lost the second period in each of their last seven games as favorites against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last 10 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Six of the Flames’ last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 12 of the Sabres’ last 13 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last three road games against the Sabres.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last three home games against the Flames.
- Tage Thompson has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last five games against the Flames.
- Tage Thompson has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last seven games against the Flames.
Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Coronato has scored a goal in three of the Flames’ last four games.
- Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one point in each of his last 14 road appearances against the Sabres.
- Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games at KeyBank Center.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.66%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank T26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.42).
- The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.10).
- The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (12.68%).
Flames vs Sabres Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings but the Flames are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Buffalo. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Flames vs Sabres Prediction, the Sabres are coming as -150 home favorites. Both teams have been bad this season, but the Flames have been atrocious and are on the second leg of a road back-to-back. The Sabres have back-to-back wins and have 6 of their 7 wins at home this season and are going up against the league’s worst offense in Calgary Flames. Take the Sabres to get the job done at home.
