Apr 24, 2026; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Drew Rasmussen (57) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Pablo Robles-Imagn Images
Pablo Robles-Imagn Images

White Sox vs Rays Prediction 8/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Chicago White Sox Tampa Bay Rays
Team Records 58-51 64-45
Spread +1.5 -148 -1.5 123
Moneyline +138 -167
Total Over 8 (-117) Under 8 (-103)
Where Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida
When Saturday, August 1, 2026
Time 04:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a White Sox vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 1st at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The Chicago White Sox are 58-51 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-1 on Friday night. Chicago scored the first four runs in the game and they were able to get the lopsided win. The White Sox recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Murakami, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Fedde allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Schweitzer picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Chicago split four games with the Yankees and lost two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 522 runs with a .239 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Colson Montgomery has led the White Sox with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Miguel Vargas has added 23 home runs and 64 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jordan Hicks, who is 1-1 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 64-45 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-6 last night. Tampa Bay cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs for the loss. The Rays recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Caminero, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Martinez allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Cook threw two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Guardians. 

This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 482 runs with a .258 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 14 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 30 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 9-5 with a 3.07 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 111.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won nine of their last 10 day games at Tropicana Field following a home loss.
  • The White Sox have lost nine of their last 10 day games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites following a loss.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The White Sox have won five of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the White Sox’s last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Rays’ last eight day games against American League opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Noah Schultz’s last four road appearances as a starter.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Junior Caminero has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last three games as favorites against the White Sox.
  • Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Munetaka Murakami has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the White Sox as underdogs.
  • Colson Montgomery has hit a home run in each of the White Sox’s last three games as road underdogs against the Rays.

White Sox vs Rays Prediction 

Chicago comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The White Sox are 24-30 on the road this year, while the Rays are 40-17 at home. Tampa Bay has won three of their last five games and they have allowed a total of two runs in those three wins. The Rays are starting Rasmussen, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 12.0 innings, while Hicks will be an opener. Take the Rays -1.5 with Rasmussen on the mound.

David Racey's Pick: Rays -1.5

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