Apr 1, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA;  Chicago Cubs right fielder Matt Shaw (6) left fielder Ian Happ (8) and center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (4) hug after the game against the Los Angeles Angels at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images
Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Yankees vs Cubs Prediction 8/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New York Yankees Chicago Cubs
Team Records 62-48 62-48
Spread -1.5 143 +1.5 -174
Moneyline -123 +102
Total Over 6.5 (100) Under 6.5 (-120)
Where Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
When Saturday, August 1, 2026
Time 07:15 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 1st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 62-48 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-0 on Friday. New York scored once in the fourth inning and once in the fifth in the shutout win. The Yankees recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Rosario, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Warren allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the White Sox and won two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, New York has a 3.28 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 508 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 31 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Max Fried, who is 4-3 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 62-48 this season after they lost game one by a score of 0-2 yesterday afternoon. Chicago pitched a great game, but their offense never showed up for the loss. The Cubs recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-4. Imanaga allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the loss, while Kelly threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won three out of four against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Pirates. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 564 runs with a .248 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 24 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is David Peterson, who is 6-7 wth a 5.80 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won each of their last six games following a loss.
  • The Yankees have lost five of their last nine games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three road games following a win.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games as favorites.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games at Wrigley Field.
  • The Cubs have lost six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the last seven games between the Yankees and Cubs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Yankees’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine home games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Yankees’ last five games against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games at Wrigley Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • David Peterson has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • David Peterson has recorded a win in each of his last five Saturday appearances in night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Amed Rosario has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Cubs.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances at Wrigley Field.

Yankees vs Cubs Prediction

New York was able to start this series with a win on Friday afternoon, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Yankees are 36-25 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 30-23 at home. Chicago has also won three of their last five games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in five straight. The Cubs are starting Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Fried has allowed 3, 0, 3, 5, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Cubs here, as Peterson has really turned things around.

David Racey's Pick: Cubs ML

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