Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 9/17/24

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Mets pick. We will examine:

The Washington Nationals’ recent form and player performance

The New York Mets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Nationals and Mets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nationals vs Mets game

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Nationals took on the Miami Marlins. Washington lost the first game 6-3 but came back for wins in the next three outings. In the Monday opener versus the Mets, the Nationals took a 2-1 loss in 10 innings. Starter Jake Irvin logged 7.1 innings with one earned run.

The starter for Tuesday’s game will be Mitchell Parker. This year over the first 27 starts of his career Parker is 7-9 with a 4.24 ERA.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. New York won 11-3 Friday then fell 6-4 and 2-1 in the remaining games. On Monday the Mets posted six hits in the walk-off win. Sean Manaea put up 7.0 innings in the start with one earned run.

It’ll be Tylor Megill in the start for the Mets on Tuesday. This season Megill is 3-5 with a 4.48 ERA in 13 games (12 starts). Megill is 20-21 with a 4.67 ERA in 71 career games (64 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Nationals’ last nine road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last three games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Nationals.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tylor Megill has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 20 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
• Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last 10 appearances against the Mets.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Mets.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Mets.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

I might try the Mets here. Megill had a spotty outing versus Boston on September 4 with 4.0 innings and three earned runs. In the other two of his last three, however, Megill is a combined 1-0 with one earned in 11.1 innings. As for Parker, he’s coming off 6.1 clean frames versus Miami but was spotty in his pair prior to that (9.1 innings; seven earned).

On Monday the Mets got a key RBI from Starling Marte to springboard off a great pitching performance. The bullpen went 3.0 innings with one hit, no walks, no earned, and four Ks. I like New York to keep it up Tuesday behind Megill.