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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks

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Boston Red Sox (6-6) vs Toronto Blue Jays (7-5)

April 9, 2025 at 06:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -130 / Toronto Blue Jays +110 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox meet on Wednesday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-5 on the year and play the Orioles, Braves, and Mariners next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .264 on the season, have a .346 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. George Springer leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 17 hits and 9 RBI, while Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 28 hits and 11 RBI. 

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 9-10 with a 4.40 ERA and 152 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-6 on the year and play the White Sox, Rays, and Mariners next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .268 on the season, have a .345 OBP, and a .416 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Alex Bregman leads the Boston Red Sox with 16 hits and 10 RBI, while Wilyer Abreu and Kristian Campbell have combined for 27 hits and 17 RBI.

Tanner Houck gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Houck is 1-1 with a 3.41 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost six of their last seven games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won four of their last five night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Wednesday games as underdogs.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The underdogs have won 13 of the Blue Jays’ last 16 games at Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Blue Jays following a loss.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (113).
  • The Red Sox rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (50).
  • The Blue Jays rank T6th in the league for doubles this season (21).
  • The Blue Jays rank 6th in the league for batting average this season (.264).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are due for a bounce-back performance, and Houck is a better pitcher than what he’s shown so far, as he was an all-star last year. However, the value is with the Blue Jays and the plus money, as they look comfortable in Fenway, and the offense has picked up. Gausman has also had success against the Red Sox, which includes holding current hitters to a .230 batting average and 45 strikeouts in 135 at-bats against current hitters. I’ll take a shot with the Blue Jays in game 3 against the Red Sox.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +110

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