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Tigers vs Twins Prediction 8/14/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Detroit (70-52) vs Minnesota (57-63)
August 14, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 70-52 this year after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-1, 6-9, and 1-0. In their game three win, Detroit scored the only run in the game in the sixth inning, which was enough to get the victory. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Perez, who went 0-1 with one RBI and two walks in the win. Detroit started Melton, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Vest picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Angels, but did lose two out of three against the Twins before that. Detroit has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 584 runs with a .250 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 27 home runs and 87 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 26 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 11-3 with a 2.35 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 145.1 innings pitched this year. The Tigers currently sit in 1st place in the American League Central, 6.5 games above the Cleveland Guardians.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 57-63 this season after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 2-6, 1-9, and 4-1. In their game three win, Minnesota trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored the last four runs to get the victory. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Clemens, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Ryan, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Topa picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Tigers. Minnesota has lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 501 runs with a .239 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 24 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 16 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-7 with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Twins
- The Tigers have won each of their last seven games as road favorites against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have lost eight of their last 10 games following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Thursday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Tigers’ last 14 road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Tigers and Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Target Field.
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites against the Twins.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine road appearances.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Target Field.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
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Tigers vs Twins Prediction
Detroit dropped game two in their last series against the White Sox, but they were able to get the series win, which was their second in a row. The Tigers are 31-28 on the road this year, while the Twins are 32-25 at home. Minnesota had some struggles against the Yankees in their last series, but they did just take two out of three from these Tigers. Minnesota is starting Ober, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. Detroit is going with Skubal, who has been very good, but has allowed seven earned runs and 11 hits in his last 11.2 innings. I expect Skubal to have a bounce back outing here and I like the Tigers by at least two runs in this one.