Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Zack Wheeler for the start here and Wheeler was 10-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 195 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against Atlanta, Wheeler is 1-2 with a 3.94 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Bryce Elder will start for Atlanta here and is 3-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his career, Elder is 0-1 with a 6.41 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to shake off a 5-3 loss at the hands of Atlanta from Friday’s matchup to sit at 8-18 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Phillies Losing Streak Hits Double Digits

Adolis Garcia has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 6 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 18 hits with 4 doubles, 8 home runs and 15 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 25 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 18 hits with 5 doubles, a triple and 3 RBIs. Trea Turner has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 9 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 25 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs and 14 RBIs this season. 

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Phillies from Friday to improve to 19-8 this season. After this series, the Braves will take on the Detroit Tigers in a series at home.

Braves Looking For Another Series Win

Drake Baldwin has 34 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 23 RBIs while Matt Olson has 31 hits with 11 doubles, 7 homers and 22 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 32 hits with 3 doubles, 5 home runs and 15 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 24 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs. Austin Riley has 22 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 28 hits with 4 doubles, 6 home runs and 18 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 26 hits with 7 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 1.50
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have won 11 of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 14 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in five of their last six games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Phillies and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven Saturday games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Drake Baldwin ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (34) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two road games against NL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 28 appearances in night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five Saturday appearances in night games.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (155).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (258).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (267).

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves in this one. You just have two teams headed in different directions right now, and while Wheeler is still viewed by many as the staff ace in this Phillies rotation, he’s still making his season debut against a red-hot Braves lineup that he struggled against last year when the Braves were not anything close to what they’ve been out of the gate this year. Elder’s had issues with the Phillies in his own right but I still think he has the offense playing better behind him and I look for Atlanta to get the job done here. Give me the Braves.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Atlanta -130