Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 7/19/24

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New York Yankees (58-40) vs Tampa Bay Rays (48-48)

July 19, 2024 at 07:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -192 / Tampa Bay Rays +161 — Over/Under: 8

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 19th at Yankee Stadium. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Rays recent form and recent player performance 

-The Yankees recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and New York. 

Can Rays Go On Run?

The Rays have been ultra inconsistent so far this season, but maybe they are finally figuring it out. The Rays have won three of the last four games, and they are coming off a victory in the last game. On Sunday, the Rays gave up zero runs to the Cleveland Guardians, and they were able to secure the 2-0 victory. Brandon Lowe and Jose Siri both hit home runs. Ryan Pepiot had a strong start, going six innings, giving up two hits and zero runs. The Rays are averaging 3.92 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.57 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 21st. Isaac Parades has hit 15 home runs and driven in 50 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Zach Eflin who sits with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 3.99. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and two runs. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Yankees

  • The underdogs have won six of the Yankees’ last seven games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have lost 13 of their last 16 games as favorites.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 Friday night home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Yankees Coming Off Another Series Win


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The Yankees sit with a 58-40 record overall, and they are coming off another series win against the Baltimore Orioles. On Sunday, the Yankees scored five runs, but the pitching gave up six runs. Ben Rice had a strong, hitting a home run and driving in three RBIs. Carlos Rodon was on the mound, and he went four innings, giving up four hits and two runs. The Yankees are averaging 4.98 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.89 runs per game.  Aaron Judge has hit 34 home runs and driven in 85 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Yankees will be Gerrit Cole, who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 5.40. In his last start against the Baltimore Orioles, he went six innings, giving up five hits and one run. 

Why the Yankees Will Beat the Rays

  • The Rays have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last four games following a road loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents following a road loss.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction

This game is going to be a pitchers’ duel. Eflin gave up only two runs in his last start, and he’s going to have a strong start again here. Cole finally is figuring it out, and in his last start he gave up only one run. The Yankees are going to really struggle to get to Eflin here, and the Rays’ offense is going to be shutout by Cole. This game is going to be lower scoring, and the under is going to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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