Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 7/19/24

Rangers Trying to Climb to .500

The Texas Rangers are 46-50 this year and they have won seven of their last nine games. Texas is coming off of a series win against Houston, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rangers won two out of three against the Angels, swept the Rays in three games, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Texas is 9-4 in their last 13 games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 414 runs with a .241 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .211 with 17 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed three runs or fewer in six of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 9-4 with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 118.2 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings.

Why the Rangers will beat the Orioles

• The Rangers have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last 11 games at Globe Life Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Orioles' last six games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rangers' last five home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three games as favorites against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Orioles.
• Josh Jung has recorded at least one total base in each of his nine previous appearances against the Orioles.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Rangers' last eight games against AL opponents at Globe Life Field.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers' last seven games against AL East opponents at Globe Life Field.
• Josh Jung has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jorge Mateo has scored at least one run in nine of his last 11 road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Jorge Mateo has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles' last six road games against the Rangers.
• Anthony Santander has recorded an RBI in each of the Orioles' last three games at Globe Life Field against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles' last 11 Friday games.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles' last 11 Friday games.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Friday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Texas Rangers rank 6th in the league for strikeouts against this season (745).
• The Texas Rangers rank 25th in the league for walks allowed this season (332).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 4th in the league for triples this season (22).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 4th in the league for RBI's this season (458).

Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

Baltimore really struggled to finish the first half of the season, but they were able to hang onto a small lead in the AL East. The Orioles are 28-16 on the road this year, while the Rangers are 24-21 at home. Texas definitely plays their best baseball at home and they are trying to get back into the race for the AL West. The Rangers are going with Eovaldi, who has looked very good over the last two weeks. For Baltimore, Corbin Burnes is their ace, but he has allowed at least seven hits in three of his last five starts. I think we could see a lot of offense in this game, but I am going to take Eovaldi over Burnes. My Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers prediction is for the Rangers to win.