Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 8/17/24

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Pittsburgh Pirates (56-64) vs Seattle Mariners (63-59)

August 17, 2024 at 01:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +145 / Seattle Mariners -172 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 17th, at PNC Park.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Mariners recent form and recent player performance 

-The Pirates recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh

-Recent betting trends in games played between the Mariners and Pirates

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Mariners and Pirates. 

Mariners Look to Bounce Back

The Mariners’ offense is bad, and far too often the offense has let them down. Luke Raley hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Logan Gilbert went 6.1 innings, giving up five hits and three runs. The offense only scored three runs total, and they need to get the offense better here. The Mariners are averaging 3.94 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.75 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 1st. Cal Raleigh has hit 26 home runs and driven in 76 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mariners will be Luis Castillo, who sits with a 10-11 record and an ERA of 3.40. In his last start against the Mets, he went six innings giving up four hits and one run.

Why the Mariners Will Beat the Pirates

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last nine day games against AL West opponents.
  • The favorites have won 13 of the Pirates’ last 14 games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.

Pirates Pick Up Key Win

The Pirates haven’t found a ton of success this season, but they were able to pick up a win on Friday. O’Neil Cruz finished with a hit and drove in two RBIs. The Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.39 runs per game. The offense is ranked 23rd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 17th. They have a run differential of -0.26 which is 20th in the league. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Bailey Falter, who sits with a 5-7 record and an ERA of 4.07. In his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers, he went four innings giving up seven hits and four runs. 

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Luis Castillo sits with an ERA of 3.40, but in his last start, he gave up only one run. The Pirates’ offense is going to be awful here. Falter hasn’t been exactly dominant heading into this game, but the Mariners’ offense has been awful all season, and they aren’t going to be any better here. The Mariners and Pirates are going to really struggle here to score, and the under is going to cash with ease. Look for four or five runs to be scored and the under is going to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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